Sport Picks
Carmarthen Town vs Caerau Ely - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
Cymru South 
Kamphendelser
45'
45'
Jenkins R.
45'
45'
Griffiths D.
Penalty Missed
50'
50'
Thomas L.
(Straffe)
Kampsammendrag
The Cymru South game between Carmarthen Town and Caerau Ely finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Carmarthen Town.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
9%
11%
80%
Uavgjort-prognose: 11% Favoritt: Caerau Ely
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
93%
/ Svært Høy Sikkerhet
- Caerau Ely carry the better recent record into this one.
- 80% — that's where the model lands on Caerau Ely taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 87%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 99%
Over 1.5 Mål 100%
Over 2.5 Mål 87%
Over 3.5 Mål 75%
Over 4.5 Mål 34%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 75.8%
Carmarthen Town Rent bur 10%
Caerau Ely Rent bur 10%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Carmarthen Town | Caerau Ely |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 34 | 29 |
| Seire | 15 | 16 |
| Uavgjort | 8 | 6 |
| Tap | 11 | 7 |
| Mål Scoret | 2.21 | 2.41 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.79 | 1.34 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 2.31 | 2.25 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
1. aug. 2026 Cymru South
Carmarthen Town vs Caerau Ely
4:3
21. feb. 2026 Cymru South
Caerau Ely vs Carmarthen Town
3:4
28. nov. 2025 Cymru South
Carmarthen Town vs Caerau Ely
1:1
25. jan. 2025 Cymru South
Carmarthen Town vs Caerau Ely
2:0
6. aug. 2024 Cymru South
Caerau Ely vs Carmarthen Town
2:2
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Carmarthen Town Sammenlign
Toppscorer Jones T.
1 Mål Assister Thomas L.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.78
Snitt xA / kamp 1.16
Caerau Ely Sammenlign
Toppscorer Bishop L.
1 Mål Assister Fowler V.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 2.05
Snitt xA / kamp 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Carmarthen Town 10 / 100
Caerau Ely 74 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Carmarthen Town Caerau Ely
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Caerau Ely Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Attacking prowess: Carmarthen Town scored in 85% of their last 34 outings.
Games between these two average 4.40 goals.
Carmarthen Town has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Caerau Ely's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.
Måltrender
Carmarthen Town VS Caerau Ely
2.38 Mål scoret 2.38
2.13 Mål sluppet inn 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Carmarthen Town
(Home) 02 Oct
Carmarthen Town
1 : 2 Llantwit Major
25 Sept
Baglan Dragons
1 : 2 Carmarthen Town
12 Sept
Carmarthen Town
2 : 2 Ynyshir Albions
31 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 3 Trethomas Bluebirds
28 Aug
Llanelli
2 : 2 Carmarthen Town
Page 1 of 7
02 Oct
Carmarthen Town
1 : 2 Llantwit Major
12 Sept
Carmarthen Town
2 : 2 Ynyshir Albions
31 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 3 Trethomas Bluebirds
22 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 4 Treowen
14 Aug
Carmarthen Town
3 : 1 Afan Lido
Page 1 of 4
Caerau Ely
(Away) 02 Oct
Caerau Ely
2 : 0 Afan Lido
26 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 3 Caerau Ely
11 Sept
Caerau Ely
3 : 0 Llanelli
31 Aug
Caerau Ely
3 : 2 Treowen
28 Aug
Baglan Dragons
3 : 1 Caerau Ely
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 3 Caerau Ely
28 Aug
Baglan Dragons
3 : 1 Caerau Ely
14 Aug
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 4 Caerau Ely
01 Aug
Carmarthen Town
4 : 3 Caerau Ely
21 Jul
Haverfordwest
2 : 1 Caerau Ely
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pure Swansea | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 25:6 | 20 |
| 2 | Aberystwyth | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22:8 | 19 |
| 3 | Pontypridd United | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23:16 | 19 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 21:18 | 16 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11:11 | 16 |
| 6 | Carmarthen Town | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20:19 | 14 |
| 7 | Ynyshir Albions | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 13 |
| 8 | Treowen | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18:18 | 13 |
| 9 | Afan Lido | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:17 | 11 |
| 10 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 11 | Pontardawe | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 12 | Newport City | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:6 | 8 |
| 13 | Cardiff Draconians | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | 8 |
| 14 | Caerphilly | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:20 | 7 |
| 16 | Llanelli | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7:27 | 2 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)
