Sport Picks
Kamphendelser
45'
45'
Jenkins R.
45'
45'
Griffiths D.
Penalty Missed
50'
50'
Thomas L.
(Straffe)
Kampsammendrag
The Cymru South game between Carmarthen Town and Caerau Ely finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Carmarthen Town.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
36%
30%
34%
Uavgjort-prognose: 30% Favoritt: Carmarthen Town
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
66%
/ Middels Sikkerhet
- Caerau Ely carry the better recent record into this one.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Carmarthen Town taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 75.8%
Carmarthen Town Rent bur 16%
Caerau Ely Rent bur 14%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Carmarthen Town | Caerau Ely |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 33 | 35 |
| Seire | 12 | 18 |
| Uavgjort | 12 | 8 |
| Tap | 9 | 9 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.88 | 2.34 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.58 | 1.34 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.06 | 1.50 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
1. aug. 2026 Cymru South
Carmarthen Town vs Caerau Ely
4:3
21. feb. 2026 Cymru South
Caerau Ely vs Carmarthen Town
3:4
28. nov. 2025 Cymru South
Carmarthen Town vs Caerau Ely
1:1
25. jan. 2025 Cymru South
Carmarthen Town vs Caerau Ely
2:0
6. aug. 2024 Cymru South
Caerau Ely vs Carmarthen Town
2:2
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Carmarthen Town Sammenlign
Toppscorer Jones T.
1 Mål Assister Thomas L.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 0.82
Snitt xA / kamp 0.53
Caerau Ely Sammenlign
Toppscorer Bishop L.
1 Mål Assister Fowler V.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.36
Snitt xA / kamp 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Carmarthen Town 36 / 100
Caerau Ely 33 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Carmarthen Town Caerau Ely
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.
Carmarthen Town scored in 79% of their last 33 games.
Caerau Ely has conceded goals in 66% of their last 35 outings.
Recent resilience: Carmarthen Town stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Måltrender
Carmarthen Town VS Caerau Ely
1.75 Mål scoret 0.88
2.13 Mål sluppet inn 0.38
75% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 13%
63% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Carmarthen Town
(Home) 08 Aug
Newport City
1 : 2 Carmarthen Town
01 Aug
Carmarthen Town
4 : 3 Caerau Ely
14 Jul
Carmarthen Town
2 : 3 Briton Ferry
07 Jul
Carmarthen Town
1 : 3 Cardiff Metropolitan University
03 Jul
Carmarthen Town
4 : 2 Trefelin
Page 1 of 7
01 Aug
Carmarthen Town
4 : 3 Caerau Ely
14 Jul
Carmarthen Town
2 : 3 Briton Ferry
07 Jul
Carmarthen Town
1 : 3 Cardiff Metropolitan University
03 Jul
Carmarthen Town
4 : 2 Trefelin
04 Apr
Carmarthen Town
0 : 1 Pontypridd United
Page 1 of 4
Caerau Ely
(Away) 07 Aug
Caerau Ely
1 : 1 Ynyshir Albions
01 Aug
Carmarthen Town
4 : 3 Caerau Ely
25 Jul
Caerau Ely
4 : 4 Barnstaple Town
21 Jul
Haverfordwest
2 : 1 Caerau Ely
11 Jul
Evesham
2 : 0 Caerau Ely
Page 1 of 7
01 Aug
Carmarthen Town
4 : 3 Caerau Ely
21 Jul
Haverfordwest
2 : 1 Caerau Ely
11 Jul
Evesham
2 : 0 Caerau Ely
18 Apr
Pontypridd United
0 : 0 Caerau Ely
28 Mar
Llantwit Major
1 : 4 Caerau Ely
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pure Swansea | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Carmarthen Town | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 3 | Pontypridd United | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 4 | Ynyshir Albions | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 5 | Afan Lido | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 3 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 3 |
| 7 | Pontardawe | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 3 |
| 8 | Newport City | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 3 |
| 9 | Treowen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 10 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 11 | Caerau Ely | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 1 |
| 12 | Cardiff Draconians | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | 1 |
| 13 | Llanelli | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | 1 |
| 14 | Caerphilly | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:3 | 1 |
| 15 | Baglan Dragons | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:3 | 1 |
| 16 | Llantwit Major | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:8 | 0 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)
