Sport Picks
Carmarthen Town vs Newport City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
FAW Welsh Cup Richmond Park, Carmarthen 
Kampsammendrag
A one-off knockout match in the FAW Welsh Cup. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Carmarthen Town at 2 goals for, 1.76 against; Newport City at 1.2 for, 1.83 against. Head-to-head, Carmarthen Town have won 3 to Newport City's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on 8. aug. 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.56 - 1.81) back Carmarthen Town to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
30%
39%
31%
Uavgjort-prognose: 39% Favoritt: Draw
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
65%
/ Middels Sikkerhet
- Newport City haven't matched Carmarthen Town's recent run of results.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Carmarthen Town have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Carmarthen Town, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 56.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 25%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 73.4%
Carmarthen Town Rent bur 11%
Newport City Rent bur 10%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Carmarthen Town | Newport City |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 33 | 30 |
| Seire | 13 | 7 |
| Uavgjort | 10 | 7 |
| Tap | 10 | 16 |
| Mål Scoret | 2 | 1.2 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.76 | 1.83 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.56 | 1.81 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
8. aug. 2026 Cymru South
Newport City vs Carmarthen Town
1:2
1. mars 2026 Cymru South
Newport City vs Carmarthen Town
4:4
27. sep. 2025 Cymru South
Carmarthen Town vs Newport City
1:0
22. mars 2025 Cymru South
Newport City vs Carmarthen Town
3:0
14. sep. 2024 Cymru South
Carmarthen Town vs Newport City
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Carmarthen Town 29 / 100
Newport City 30 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Carmarthen Town Newport City
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Carmarthen Town Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Carmarthen Town found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (33 games).
Newport City has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Carmarthen Town has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Måltrender
Carmarthen Town VS Newport City
2.38 Mål scoret 1.25
2.38 Mål sluppet inn 0.75
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 38%
88% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Carmarthen Town
(Home) 02 Oct
Carmarthen Town
1 : 2 Llantwit Major
25 Sept
Baglan Dragons
1 : 2 Carmarthen Town
12 Sept
Carmarthen Town
2 : 2 Ynyshir Albions
31 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 3 Trethomas Bluebirds
28 Aug
Llanelli
2 : 2 Carmarthen Town
Page 1 of 7
02 Oct
Carmarthen Town
1 : 2 Llantwit Major
12 Sept
Carmarthen Town
2 : 2 Ynyshir Albions
31 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 3 Trethomas Bluebirds
22 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 4 Treowen
14 Aug
Carmarthen Town
3 : 1 Afan Lido
Page 1 of 4
Newport City
(Away) 09 Oct
Caerphilly
3 : 2 Newport City
03 Oct
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 1 Newport City
25 Sept
Afan Lido
0 : 0 Newport City
28 Aug
Newport City
0 : 1 Ynyshir Albions
21 Aug
Newport City
0 : 1 Baglan Dragons
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Caerphilly
3 : 2 Newport City
03 Oct
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 1 Newport City
25 Sept
Afan Lido
0 : 0 Newport City
15 Aug
Pontardawe
0 : 4 Newport City
31 Jul
Llanelli
1 : 4 Newport City
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
TNS -
Coedpoeth -
Guilsfield -
Llannefydd -
Llandudno FC -
Newtown -
Llanuwchllyn -
Bala -
Holyhead -
Connahs Q. -
Porthmadog -
Penycae FC -
Dolgellau Athletic -
Aberystwyth -
Prestatyn -
Flint Town -
Caernarfon -
Llay Welfare -
Holywell Town FC -
Buckley -
Colwyn Bay -
Brickfield Rangers -
Llangefni -
Denbigh -
Bangor 1876 -
Cefn Albion -
Felinheli -
Llysfaen -
Mochdre Sports -
Pontarddulais -
Goytre Utd -
Trefelin -
Llantwit Major -
Afan Lido -
Penybont -
Caerau Ely -
Llanelli -
Blaen-y-Maes -
Ely Rangers -
Radnor Valley -
Cardiff Draconians -
Barry Town -
Tredegar Town -
Cwmaman Institute -
Ammanford Town -
Llangennech -
Pontardawe -
Caerphilly -
Chepstow Town -
Evans Williams -
Rockspur -
Briton Ferry -
Afan United -
Llantwit Fardre -
Baglan Dragons -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Ynyshir Albions -
Cambrian United -
Trethomas Bluebirds -
Carmarthen Town -
Newport City -
Haverfordwest -
Cardiff Corries -
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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