Sport Picks
Kampsammendrag
This Serie C2/A 2009/2010 encounter between Carpenedolo and Villacidrese promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Carpenedolo averages 0.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded in recent matches. Villacidrese shows a form average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Carpenedolo, 3 wins for Villacidrese, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 30.05.10 ended in a 1:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.29 for Carpenedolo and 2.38 for Villacidrese, suggesting the primary value lies in the Villacidrese double chance or over markets.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Carpenedolo har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Villacidrese.
- Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.29 vs 2.38 xG).
- Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for bortelaget.
- Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Carpenedolo | Villacidrese |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 30 | 34 |
| Seire | 5 | 10 |
| Uavgjort | 8 | 8 |
| Tap | 17 | 16 |
| Mål Scoret | 0.73 | 1.24 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.7 | 1.35 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 4.00 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
Taktisk Profil
Posisjonering og Kontrollstil
Carpenedolo
Villacidrese
Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne
Erventet Kampforløp
Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker
Villacidrese will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.
Carpenedolo will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Villacidrese's early runs.
Expect Villacidrese to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Carpenedolo tries to push forward.
Tactical adjustments will see Villacidrese increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.
Fatigue may set in for Carpenedolo's defense, opening up opportunities for Villacidrese's forward line.
Expect Villacidrese to manage the closing stages, while Carpenedolo searches for late drama.
Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd
Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Carpenedolo have found the net in 50% of their last 30 matches.
Villacidrese have conceded at least one goal in 76% of their last 34 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 3.00 goals per match.
Carpenedolo remained undefeated in 1 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Villacidrese suffered defeat in 1 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Statistikk-sammenligning