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Cerro Porteno vs San Lorenzo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa Paraguay Estadio Defensores del Chaco, Asunción
ons. 14. okt. 2026
VS
10:30 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

A one-off knockout match in the Copa Paraguay. This one's hard to separate. Cerro Porteno have averaged 1.23 scored and 0.97 conceded recently, against San Lorenzo's 0.61 scored and 1.5 conceded. Past meetings favor Cerro Porteno slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 16. aug. 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 0.69) point toward Cerro Porteno. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

30%
Cerro Porteno
39%
Uavgjort
31%
San Lorenzo
Uavgjort-prognose: 39% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

65% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Cerro Porteno have won more games recently than San Lorenzo.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Cerro Porteno have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cerro Porteno, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 13%
Over 4.5 Mål 6%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 68.6%
Cerro Porteno Rent bur 20%
San Lorenzo Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Cerro Porteno San Lorenzo
Kamper Spilt 30 28
Seire 14 5
Uavgjort 6 7
Tap 10 16
Mål Scoret 1.23 0.61
Mål Sluppet Inn 0.97 1.5
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.56 0.69
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

16. aug. 2026 Copa de Primera
Cerro Porteno vs San Lorenzo
1:0
28. mars 2026 Copa de Primera
Cerro Porteno vs San Lorenzo
2:0
27. jan. 2026 Copa de Primera
San Lorenzo vs Cerro Porteno
2:4
13. des. 2020 Copa de Primera
Cerro Porteno vs San Lorenzo
1:1
2. okt. 2020 Copa de Primera
San Lorenzo vs Cerro Porteno
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Cerro Porteno 31 / 100
San Lorenzo 30 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Cerro Porteno San Lorenzo

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Cerro Porteno Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Attacking prowess: Cerro Porteno scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

San Lorenzo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Cerro Porteno stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Måltrender

Cerro Porteno VS San Lorenzo
1.38 Mål scoret 0.63
0.75 Mål sluppet inn 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cerro Porteno

(Home)
05 Oct
Cerro Porteno
0 : 2
2 de Mayo
30 Sept
Cerro Porteno
2 : 1
Rubio Nu
26 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
2 : 1
Cerro Porteno
19 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0
Rubio Nu
12 Sept
Guarani
1 : 1
Cerro Porteno
Page 1 of 6

San Lorenzo

(Away)
03 Oct
Guarani
1 : 1
San Lorenzo
28 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 0
Recoleta
23 Sept
San Lorenzo
2 : 1
4 de Mayo
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 3
Olimpia Asuncion
11 Sept
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 0
San Lorenzo
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Resistencia 0
Cerro Porteno 1
General Caballero JLM 2
Rubio Nu 3
29 de Septiembre FBC 1
San Lorenzo 2
4 de Mayo 3
Fulgencio Yegros 2
1 de Marzo Pilar 2
Atletico Tembetary 3
Sportivo Iteno 2
Guarani 1
Deportivo Humaita FBC 1
2 de Mayo 4
Sol de America 2
Sportivo Trinidense 1
Cristobal Colon FC 3
Olimpia Asuncion 5
Paraguari AC 0
Sp. Luqueno 2
Deportivo Santani 0
Recoleta 2
Guairena FC 3
12 de Octubre 2
Obrero 0
Fernando de la Mora 3
Tacuary 0
Libertad Asuncion 1
Independiente FBC 1
Sportivo Ameliano 0
Benjamin Aceval 0
Nacional Asuncion 2
1/8-finals
Cerro Porteno 2
Rubio Nu 1
San Lorenzo 2
4 de Mayo 1
Atletico Tembetary 2
Sportivo Iteno 0
2 de Mayo 0
Sol de America 4
Olimpia Asuncion 1
Sp. Luqueno 2
Recoleta 3
Guairena FC 1
Fernando de la Mora 1
Libertad Asuncion 2
Independiente FBC 3
Nacional Asuncion 2
Quarter-finals
Cerro Porteno -
San Lorenzo -
Atletico Tembetary -
Sol de America -
Sp. Luqueno -
Recoleta -
Libertad Asuncion -
Independiente FBC -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -