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Chelsea vs Arsenal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

EFL Cup 2025/2026 Stamford Bridge, London
Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

7' Event
White B.
Assist: Rice D.
42'
Estêvão
42'
Trossard L.

Kampsammendrag

This match ends 2-3, with Arsenal advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

31%
Chelsea
40%
Uavgjort
29%
Arsenal
Uavgjort-prognose: 40% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

66% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Chelsea haven't matched Arsenal's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Arsenal arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Arsenal, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • History favors Arsenal here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 98%
Over 1.5 Mål 87.5%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 71.8%
Chelsea Rent bur 10%
Arsenal Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Chelsea Arsenal
Kamper Spilt 29 28
Seire 12 18
Uavgjort 3 2
Tap 14 8
Mål Scoret 1.97 1.57
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.93 0.93
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.63 2.00
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

6. sep. 2026 Premier League
Arsenal vs Chelsea
2:1
1. mars 2026 Premier League
Arsenal vs Chelsea
2:1
3. feb. 2026 EFL Cup
Arsenal vs Chelsea
1:0
14. jan. 2026 EFL Cup
Chelsea vs Arsenal
2:3
30. nov. 2025 Premier League
Chelsea vs Arsenal
1:1

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Chelsea Sammenlign

Toppscorer Garnacho A.
2 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 1.25
Snitt xA / kamp 0.81

Arsenal Sammenlign

Toppscorer White B.
1 Mål
Assister Gyokeres V.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.82
Snitt xA / kamp 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Chelsea 30 / 100
Arsenal 28 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Chelsea Arsenal

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Chelsea's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Chelsea went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Arsenal conceded in 50% of 28 recent games.

Måltrender

Chelsea VS Arsenal
2.63 Mål scoret 2
2 Mål sluppet inn 0.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chelsea

(Home)
18 Sept
Brentford
3 : 0
Chelsea
12 Sept
Chelsea
2 : 2
Hull City
09 Sept
Chelsea
6 : 3
Leeds
06 Sept
Arsenal
2 : 1
Chelsea
30 Aug
Chelsea
4 : 3
Brighton
Page 1 of 6

Arsenal

(Away)
19 Sept
Brighton
3 : 0
Arsenal
15 Sept
Ipswich
2 : 4
Arsenal
12 Sept
Sunderland
0 : 2
Arsenal
09 Sept
Napoli
0 : 1
Arsenal
06 Sept
Arsenal
2 : 1
Chelsea
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Barrow 0
Preston 1
Wrexham 4
Hull City 3
Portsmouth 1
Reading 2
Gillingham 1
AFC Wimbledon 2
Burnley -
TBD -
West Brom 1
Derby 2
Cardiff 2
Swindon 1
Cheltenham 2
Exeter 0
Wolves -
TBD -
TBD -
West Ham -
Everton -
TBD -
Chesterfield 0
Mansfield 2
Tranmere 1
Burton 2
Harrogate 1
Lincoln City 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 2
Sheffield Utd 1
Blackpool 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 3
Fleetwood Town 2
Salford 0
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 1
Colchester 0
TBD -
Brighton -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Watford 1
Norwich 2
Northampton 0
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newport 0
Millwall 1
Coventry 1
Luton 0
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Walsall 0
Blackburn 1
Bradford City 2
Tottenham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Accrington 2
Peterborough 1
Middlesbrough 0
Doncaster 4
Wigan 1
Notts County 0
Stockport County 3
Crewe 1
Bromley 2
Ipswich 1
Leyton Orient 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham -
TBD -
Bristol City 2
Milton Keynes Dons 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Charlton 3
Stevenage 1
Swansea 3
Crawley Town 1
Plymouth 3
QPR 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland -
TBD -
Huddersfield 3
Leicester 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Manchester City -
Bolton 3
Sheffield Wed 4
TBD -
Leeds -
Grimsby 3
Shrewsbury 1
TBD -
Manchester United -
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
Brentford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Preston 2
Wrexham 3
Reading 2
AFC Wimbledon 1
Burnley 2
Derby 1
Cardiff 3
Cheltenham 0
Wolves 3
West Ham 2
Everton 2
Mansfield 0
Burton 0
Lincoln City 1
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 2
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Norwich 0
Southampton 3
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Millwall 2
Coventry 1
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Stoke City 0
Bradford City 3
Tottenham -
TBD -
Accrington 0
Doncaster 2
Wigan 1
Stockport County 0
Bromley 1
Wycombe 2
Fulham 2
Bristol City 0
Cambridge Utd 3
Charlton 1
Swansea 2
Plymouth 1
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland 1
Huddersfield 2
TBD -
Manchester City -
Sheffield Wed 2
Leeds 1
Grimsby 3
Manchester United 2
Bournemouth 0
Brentford 2
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Wrexham 2
Reading 0
Burnley 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 2
Everton 0
Lincoln City 1
Chelsea 2
Port Vale 0
Arsenal 2
Barnsley 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool 2
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace 2
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 4
Bradford City 1
Tottenham 3
Doncaster 0
Wigan 0
Wycombe 2
Fulham 1
Cambridge Utd 0
Swansea 3
Nottingham 2
Huddersfield 0
Manchester City 2
Sheffield Wed 0
Grimsby 1
Brentford 2
Aston Villa 1
1/8-finals
Wrexham 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 3
Chelsea 4
Arsenal 2
Brighton 0
Liverpool 0
Crystal Palace 3
Newcastle Utd 2
Tottenham 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham 2
Swansea 1
Manchester City 3
Grimsby 0
Brentford 5
Quarter-finals
Cardiff 1
Chelsea 3
Arsenal 2
Crystal Palace 1
Newcastle Utd 2
Fulham 1
Manchester City 2
Brentford 0
Semi-finals
Chelsea 2
Arsenal 4
Newcastle Utd 1
Manchester City 5
Final
Arsenal 0
Manchester City 2