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Club Nacional vs Maldonado - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Gran Parque Central, Montevideo
man. 19. okt. 2026
VS
11:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Club Nacional host Maldonado in the Liga AUF Uruguaya. Little to choose between these two on current form. Maldonado have shipped 0.86 goals a game lately, while Club Nacional have conceded 1.31 and scored 1.44. Past meetings favor Club Nacional slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 31. mai 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.50) point toward Maldonado. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

31%
Club Nacional
40%
Uavgjort
29%
Maldonado
Uavgjort-prognose: 40% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

66% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Club Nacional have managed 1.44 goals a game lately — Maldonado are scoring more at 1.68.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 70.2%
Club Nacional Rent bur 16%
Maldonado Rent bur 13%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Club Nacional Maldonado
Kamper Spilt 32 28
Seire 16 16
Uavgjort 5 6
Tap 11 6
Mål Scoret 1.44 1.68
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.31 0.86
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.13 1.50
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

31. mai 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Maldonado vs Club Nacional
3:0
11. apr. 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Maldonado vs Club Nacional
4:2
14. jan. 2026 Copa de la Liga AUF
Club Nacional vs Maldonado
1:0
16. nov. 2024 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Club Nacional vs Maldonado
5:2
20. mai 2024 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Maldonado vs Club Nacional
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Club Nacional 31 / 100
Maldonado 29 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Club Nacional Maldonado

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Club Nacional went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Club Nacional found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).

Maldonado has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Måltrender

Club Nacional VS Maldonado
1.88 Mål scoret 2.13
0.88 Mål sluppet inn 0.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Club Nacional

(Home)
05 Oct
Club Nacional
2 : 0
Montevideo City
26 Sept
Cerro Largo
0 : 2
Club Nacional
20 Sept
Club Nacional
3 : 2
Defensor Sp.
16 Sept
Progreso
0 : 1
Club Nacional
12 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 1
Club Nacional
Page 1 of 7

Maldonado

(Away)
03 Oct
Maldonado
3 : 0
Central Esp.
27 Sept
Montevideo City
0 : 2
Maldonado
23 Sept
CA Cerro
1 : 2
Maldonado
19 Sept
Maldonado
2 : 0
Cerro Largo
13 Sept
Defensor Sp.
1 : 0
Maldonado
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montevideo City 10 7 1 2 20:10 22
2 Liverpool M. 9 6 2 1 17:7 20
3 Penarol 9 6 2 1 15:6 19
4 Maldonado 9 5 2 2 13:5 17
5 Club Nacional 9 5 2 2 13:9 17
6 Wanderers 9 4 3 2 12:11 15
7 Juventud 9 3 5 1 10:6 14
8 CA Cerro 9 4 2 3 9:11 14
9 Racing Montevideo 9 3 3 3 9:8 12
10 Progreso 9 4 0 5 9:12 12
11 Boston River 9 2 3 4 10:12 9
12 Defensor Sp. 9 2 2 5 9:16 8
13 Danubio 10 1 4 5 4:11 7
14 Cerro Largo 9 0 5 4 6:12 5
15 Central Esp. 9 1 2 6 5:16 5
16 Albion 9 1 0 8 9:18 3
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)