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Stadium Background

Colchester vs Exeter - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League Two Colchester Community Stadium (JobServe), Colchester
lør. 17. okt. 2026
VS
02:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Colchester host Exeter in the League Two. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Colchester at 1.3 goals for, 1.23 against; Exeter at 1 for, 1.29 against. Past meetings favor Exeter slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 15. apr. 2022, ending 2:0. xG projections (0.94 - 1.25) back Colchester to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

36%
Colchester
44%
Uavgjort
20%
Exeter
Uavgjort-prognose: 44% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

71% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Colchester come out ahead of Exeter on wins alone.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • History favors Exeter here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 25.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 11%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 69.4%
Colchester Rent bur 19%
Exeter Rent bur 16%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Colchester Exeter
Kamper Spilt 30 28
Seire 9 6
Uavgjort 8 8
Tap 13 14
Mål Scoret 1.3 1
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.23 1.29
Forventede Mål (xG) 0.94 1.25
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

15. apr. 2022 League Two
Exeter vs Colchester
2:0
23. nov. 2021 League Two
Colchester vs Exeter
3:1
23. feb. 2021 League Two
Colchester vs Exeter
1:2
24. nov. 2020 League Two
Exeter vs Colchester
6:1
22. juni 2020 League Two
Exeter vs Colchester
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Colchester 36 / 100
Exeter 21 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Colchester Exeter

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Exeter Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Colchester scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Exeter let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Colchester went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Måltrender

Colchester VS Exeter
0.88 Mål scoret 0.75
1.75 Mål sluppet inn 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Colchester

(Home)
03 Oct
Colchester
1 : 2
Luton
26 Sept
Shrewsbury
2 : 2
Colchester
22 Sept
Peterborough
3 : 1
Colchester
19 Sept
Colchester
1 : 1
Cheltenham
12 Sept
Colchester
1 : 1
Crewe
Page 1 of 6

Exeter

(Away)
06 Oct
Exeter
3 : 2
Oxford Utd
03 Oct
Exeter
1 : 0
Rotherham
26 Sept
Bristol Rovers
1 : 0
Exeter
22 Sept
Cheltenham
3 : 2
Exeter
19 Sept
Exeter
0 : 0
Tranmere
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salford 9 5 1 3 13:10 16
2 Barnet 7 4 3 0 17:10 15
3 Crewe 9 3 6 0 11:7 15
4 Cheltenham 9 4 3 2 16:14 15
5 Bristol Rovers 9 5 0 4 14:14 15
6 York City 8 4 2 2 16:10 14
7 Walsall 8 3 5 0 11:5 14
8 Chesterfield 9 4 2 3 15:12 14
9 Grimsby 9 3 4 2 13:10 13
10 Gillingham 9 3 4 2 11:9 13
11 Rochdale 9 4 1 4 10:11 13
12 Tranmere 9 2 5 2 12:12 11
13 Swindon 9 3 2 4 9:13 11
14 Shrewsbury 9 3 2 4 9:14 11
15 Newport 9 2 4 3 12:12 10
16 Accrington 9 2 4 3 13:14 10
17 Rotherham 9 2 4 3 11:12 10
18 Fleetwood Town 9 2 4 3 9:10 10
19 Colchester 8 2 4 2 10:12 10
20 Exeter 9 2 3 4 5:6 9
21 Oldham 8 2 1 5 9:13 7
22 Northampton 7 1 3 3 3:6 6
23 Port Vale 7 1 2 4 3:9 5
24 Crawley Town 7 1 1 5 6:13 4
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)