Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Congo vs Uganda

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Stade Alphonse Massemba-Débat, Brazzaville
0 - 1
Slutt
Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

10'
Bytte
Aucho K. Inn: Byaruhanga B.
Ut: Aucho K.
25'
Ssekiganda R.
55' Event
Mutyaba T.

Kampsammendrag

This match ends 0-1, with Uganda advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

36%
Congo
44%
Uavgjort
20%
Uganda
Uavgjort-prognose: 44% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

71% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Uganda come out ahead of Congo on wins alone.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Uganda arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Uganda, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Uganda have taken 4 of them.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 85%
Over 1.5 Mål 61.5%
Over 2.5 Mål 25%
Over 3.5 Mål 22%
Over 4.5 Mål 10%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 26.4%
Congo Rent bur 18%
Uganda Rent bur 68%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Congo Uganda
Kamper Spilt 28 25
Seire 3 12
Uavgjort 8 3
Tap 17 10
Mål Scoret 0.61 1.24
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.86 1.28
Forventede Mål (xG) 0.70 1.32
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

19. nov. 2024 Africa Cup of Nations
Congo vs Uganda
0:1
9. sep. 2024 Africa Cup of Nations
Uganda vs Congo
2:0
12. nov. 2017 World Championship
Congo vs Uganda
1:1
12. nov. 2016 World Championship
Uganda vs Congo
1:0
16. juni 2012 Africa Cup of Nations
Uganda vs Congo
4:0

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Congo Sammenlign

Snitt xG / kamp 0.54
Snitt xA / kamp 0.35

Uganda Sammenlign

Toppscorer Mutyaba T.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 1.2
Snitt xA / kamp 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Congo 36 / 100
Uganda 32 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Congo Uganda

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Uganda Win (2)
Sekundærtips Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Defensive concern: Uganda conceded in 60% of 25 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Uganda's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Congo scored in 46% of their last 28 games.

Måltrender

Congo VS Uganda
0.4 Mål scoret 1.25
1.4 Mål sluppet inn 1
60% Over 1.5 63%
20% Over 2.5 50%
20% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Congo

(Home)
14 Oct
Morocco
1 : 0
Congo
08 Oct
Niger
3 : 1
Congo
05 Sept
Congo
1 : 1
Tanzania
19 Aug
Nigeria
2 : 0
Congo
12 Aug
Senegal
1 : 1
Congo
Page 1 of 6

Uganda

(Away)
30 Dec
Uganda
1 : 3
Nigeria
27 Dec
Uganda
1 : 1
Tanzania
23 Dec
Tunisia
3 : 1
Uganda
18 Nov
Morocco
4 : 0
Uganda
14 Nov
Uganda
2 : 1
Chad
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comoros 6 3 3 0 7:4 12
2 Tunisia 6 3 1 2 7:6 10
3 Gambia 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
4 Madagascar 6 0 2 4 4:8 2
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 6 6 0 0 26:2 18
2 Gabon 6 3 1 2 7:9 10
3 Lesotho 6 1 1 4 2:13 4
4 Central Africa 6 1 0 5 3:14 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt 6 4 2 0 12:2 14
2 Botswana 6 2 2 2 4:7 8
3 Mauritania 6 2 1 3 3:6 7
4 Cape Verde 6 1 1 4 3:7 4
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nigeria 6 3 2 1 9:3 11
2 Benin 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
3 Rwanda 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
4 Libya 6 1 2 3 3:7 5
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 6 5 1 0 16:2 16
2 Equatorial Guinea 6 2 2 2 5:8 8
3 Togo 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
4 Liberia 6 1 1 4 4:12 4
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Angola 6 4 2 0 7:2 14
2 Sudan 6 2 2 2 4:6 8
3 Niger 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
4 Ghana 6 0 3 3 3:7 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zambia 6 4 1 1 7:4 13
2 Ivory Coast 6 4 0 2 12:3 12
3 Sierra Leone 6 1 2 3 5:10 5
4 Chad 6 0 3 3 1:8 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D.R. Congo 6 4 0 2 7:3 12
2 Tanzania 6 3 1 2 5:4 10
3 Guinea 6 3 0 3 9:5 9
4 Ethiopia 6 1 1 4 3:12 4
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mali 6 4 2 0 10:1 14
2 Mozambique 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
3 Guinea Bissau 6 1 2 3 4:6 5
4 Eswatini 6 0 2 4 2:13 2
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon 6 4 2 0 8:2 14
2 Zimbabwe 6 2 3 1 6:4 9
3 Kenya 6 1 3 2 4:7 6
4 Namibia 6 0 2 4 2:7 2
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa 6 4 2 0 16:5 14
2 Uganda 6 4 1 1 8:5 13
3 Congo 6 1 1 4 4:12 4
4 South Sudan 6 1 0 5 6:12 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal 6 5 1 0 10:1 16
2 Burkina Faso 6 3 1 2 10:7 10
3 Burundi 6 1 1 4 4:11 4
4 Malawi 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)