Sport Picks
Connahs Q. vs Caernarfon
Wales
Cymru Premier 2025/2026 Essity Stadium, Flint 
Kamphendelser
26'
26'
Cieslewicz A.
26'
26'
Edwards N.
26'
26'
Roberts C.
Kampsammendrag
The Cymru Premier 2025/2026 game between Connahs Q. and Caernarfon finished 1-1.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
90%
6%
4%
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Connahs Q.
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
95%
/ Svært Høy Sikkerhet
- Caernarfon haven't matched Connahs Q.'s recent run of results.
- Connahs Q. are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 25.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 11%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 75.4%
Connahs Q. Rent bur 19%
Caernarfon Rent bur 10%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Connahs Q. | Caernarfon |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 30 | 31 |
| Seire | 15 | 14 |
| Uavgjort | 8 | 7 |
| Tap | 7 | 10 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.25 | 1.5 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1 | 2 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
2. aug. 2026 Cymru Premier
Connahs Q. vs Caernarfon
1:2
13. mars 2026 Cymru Premier
Caernarfon vs Connahs Q.
2:4
6. feb. 2026 Cymru Premier
Connahs Q. vs Caernarfon
1:1
13. jan. 2026 Cymru Premier
Caernarfon vs Connahs Q.
2:2
23. sep. 2025 Cymru Premier
Connahs Q. vs Caernarfon
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Connahs Q. 85 / 100
Caernarfon 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Connahs Q. Caernarfon
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips CON Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Connahs Q. found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Defensive concern: Caernarfon conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.
Recent resilience: Connahs Q. stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Måltrender
Connahs Q. VS Caernarfon
1.25 Mål scoret 1.5
1 Mål sluppet inn 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Connahs Q.
(Home) 02 Aug
Connahs Q.
1 : 2 Caernarfon
16 Jul
FC Ballkani
3 : 2 Connahs Q.
08 Jul
Connahs Q.
0 : 0 FC Ballkani
27 Jun
Queen of the South
0 : 1 Connahs Q.
23 Jun
Larne
1 : 0 Connahs Q.
Page 1 of 6
02 Aug
Connahs Q.
1 : 2 Caernarfon
08 Jul
Connahs Q.
0 : 0 FC Ballkani
18 Apr
Connahs Q.
1 : 1 Colwyn Bay
29 Mar
Connahs Q.
1 : 1 Barry Town
21 Mar
Connahs Q.
2 : 1 Penybont
Page 1 of 3
Caernarfon
(Away) 02 Aug
Connahs Q.
1 : 2 Caernarfon
16 Jul
Levadia
5 : 0 Caernarfon
09 Jul
Caernarfon
0 : 5 Levadia
20 Jun
Glentoran
1 : 2 Caernarfon
18 Apr
Caernarfon
2 : 0 Penybont
Page 1 of 7
02 Aug
Connahs Q.
1 : 2 Caernarfon
16 Jul
Levadia
5 : 0 Caernarfon
20 Jun
Glentoran
1 : 2 Caernarfon
03 Apr
Colwyn Bay
0 : 2 Caernarfon
21 Mar
Barry Town
2 : 1 Caernarfon
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TNS | 32 | 26 | 2 | 4 | 81:25 | 80 |
| 2 | Connahs Q. | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 61:38 | 58 |
| 3 | Barry Town | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 43:33 | 46 |
| 4 | Caernarfon | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 56:47 | 45 |
| 5 | Colwyn Bay | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 41:37 | 45 |
| 6 | Penybont | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39:49 | 41 |
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
