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Connahs Q. vs Porthmadog - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

FAW Welsh Cup Essity Stadium, Flint
fre. 16. okt. 2026
VS
06:45 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

The first leg ended 3-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This one's hard to separate. Connahs Q. have averaged 1.77 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Porthmadog's 1.64 scored and 1.89 conceded. Head-to-head, Connahs Q. have won 2 to Porthmadog's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on 27. jan. 2018, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.69 - 1.13) back Connahs Q. to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

60%
Connahs Q.
22%
Uavgjort
18%
Porthmadog
Uavgjort-prognose: 22% Favoritt: Connahs Q.

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

82% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Connahs Q. have won more games recently than Porthmadog.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Connahs Q. taking it.
  • Connahs Q. have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Porthmadog, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 25.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 11%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 77%
Connahs Q. Rent bur 20%
Porthmadog Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Connahs Q. Porthmadog
Kamper Spilt 30 28
Seire 15 13
Uavgjort 8 4
Tap 7 11
Mål Scoret 1.77 1.64
Mål Sluppet Inn 1 1.89
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.69 1.13
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

27. jan. 2018 FAW Welsh Cup
Connahs Q. vs Porthmadog
3:1
18. feb. 2012 Cymru Alliance
Connahs Q. vs Porthmadog
1:1
22. okt. 2011 Cymru Alliance
Porthmadog vs Connahs Q.
2:0
12. feb. 2011 Cymru Alliance
Connahs Q. vs Porthmadog
1:2
8. jan. 2011 Cymru Alliance
Porthmadog vs Connahs Q.
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Connahs Q. 58 / 100
Porthmadog 18 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Connahs Q. Porthmadog

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Connahs Q. Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Connahs Q. found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Porthmadog has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Connahs Q. has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Måltrender

Connahs Q. VS Porthmadog
2.13 Mål scoret 1.63
0.63 Mål sluppet inn 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Connahs Q.

(Home)
09 Oct
Briton Ferry
1 : 2
Connahs Q.
03 Oct
Connahs Q.
1 : 0
Penybont
26 Sept
Barry Town
1 : 4
Connahs Q.
18 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University
15 Sept
Connahs Q.
3 : 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC
Page 1 of 6

Porthmadog

(Away)
03 Oct
Porthmadog
1 : 0
Bangor 1876
26 Sept
Newtown
0 : 1
Porthmadog
12 Sept
Porthmadog
3 : 0
Ruthin Town
05 Sept
Porthmadog
1 : 2
Bala
31 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 2
Porthmadog
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
TNS -
Coedpoeth -
Guilsfield -
Llannefydd -
Llandudno FC -
Newtown -
Llanuwchllyn -
Bala -
Holyhead -
Connahs Q. -
Porthmadog -
Penycae FC -
Dolgellau Athletic -
Aberystwyth -
Prestatyn -
Flint Town -
Caernarfon -
Llay Welfare -
Holywell Town FC -
Buckley -
Colwyn Bay -
Brickfield Rangers -
Llangefni -
Denbigh -
Bangor 1876 -
Cefn Albion -
Felinheli -
Llysfaen -
Mochdre Sports -
Pontarddulais -
Goytre Utd -
Trefelin -
Llantwit Major -
Afan Lido -
Penybont -
Caerau Ely -
Llanelli -
Blaen-y-Maes -
Ely Rangers -
Radnor Valley -
Cardiff Draconians -
Barry Town -
Tredegar Town -
Cwmaman Institute -
Ammanford Town -
Llangennech -
Pontardawe -
Caerphilly -
Chepstow Town -
Evans Williams -
Rockspur -
Briton Ferry -
Afan United -
Llantwit Fardre -
Baglan Dragons -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Ynyshir Albions -
Cambrian United -
Trethomas Bluebirds -
Carmarthen Town -
Newport City -
Haverfordwest -
Cardiff Corries -
1/16-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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