Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Crewe vs Accrington

England England

EFL Cup Alexandra Stadium, Crewe
Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

7' Event
Lankester J.
(Straffe)
45'
Rawson F.
58'
Bytte
Matthews D. Inn: Moore T.
Ut: Matthews D.

Kampsammendrag

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

36%
Crewe
30%
Uavgjort
34%
Accrington
Uavgjort-prognose: 30% Favoritt: Crewe

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

66% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Crewe come out ahead of Accrington on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Crewe's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Crewe have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Crewe, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 67.8%
Crewe Rent bur 19%
Accrington Rent bur 14%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Crewe Accrington
Kamper Spilt 30 29
Seire 14 9
Uavgjort 7 7
Tap 9 13
Mål Scoret 1.47 0.93
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.13 1.17
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.06 1.25
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

8. aug. 2026 EFL Cup
Crewe vs Accrington
2:1
3. apr. 2026 League Two
Accrington vs Crewe
2:0
9. aug. 2025 League Two
Crewe vs Accrington
2:0
25. jan. 2025 League Two
Crewe vs Accrington
0:1
14. sep. 2024 League Two
Accrington vs Crewe
0:1

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Crewe Sammenlign

Toppscorer Moore L.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 0.82
Snitt xA / kamp 0.53

Accrington Sammenlign

Toppscorer Rawson F.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 1.14
Snitt xA / kamp 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Crewe 36 / 100
Accrington 33 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Crewe Accrington

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Attacking prowess: Crewe scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Accrington conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Crewe remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Måltrender

Crewe VS Accrington
1.13 Mål scoret 1.25
1.25 Mål sluppet inn 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Crewe

(Home)
08 Aug
Crewe
2 : 1
Accrington
01 Aug
Chester
0 : 0
Crewe
25 Jul
Crewe
1 : 2
Birmingham
21 Jul
Telford
0 : 3
Crewe
18 Jul
Crewe
1 : 1
Stoke City
Page 1 of 6

Accrington

(Away)
08 Aug
Crewe
2 : 1
Accrington
01 Aug
Accrington
0 : 0
Sheffield Wed
28 Jul
Accrington
1 : 0
Bury FC
25 Jul
Chorley
0 : 3
Accrington
17 Jul
Accrington
1 : 0
Bradford City
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Bristol City 0
Walsall 1
Leyton Orient 2
Oxford Utd 0
Ipswich -
TBD -
Leicester 1
Northampton 0
Cardiff 3
Swindon 2
Norwich 4
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Wycombe 1
Stevenage 2
Bromley 1
Reading 2
Cambridge Utd 2
Barnet 1
QPR 1
Millwall 2
Swansea 0
Birmingham 1
TBD -
Brentford -
Colchester 0
Southampton 2
West Ham 3
Portsmouth 1
Watford 1
Crawley Town 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Peterborough 1
Fulham -
TBD -
AFC Wimbledon 2
Newport 1
Plymouth 2
Exeter 0
TBD -
Coventry -
Chelsea -
TBD -
Gillingham 0
Luton 3
Tottenham -
TBD -
Cheltenham 1
Charlton 3
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Rotherham 1
West Brom 4
Burton 1
Blackburn 2
Mansfield 0
Sheffield Utd 3
Nottingham -
TBD -
TBD -
Leeds -
Stockport County 1
Doncaster 2
Middlesbrough 1
Wrexham 0
Barnsley 2
Wigan 1
Crewe 2
Accrington 1
Preston 2
Huddersfield 1
TBD -
Everton -
Stoke City 2
Oldham 0
TBD -
Hull City -
Sheffield Wed 1
Bolton 0
Wolves 3
Port Vale 0
Grimsby 1
Blackpool 3
Derby 1
Lincoln City 2
Fleetwood Town 1
Chesterfield 0
Salford 1
Shrewsbury 2
Bradford City 2
Rochdale 0
Burnley 2
Notts County 1
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1/32-finals
Walsall -
Leyton Orient -
Ipswich -
Leicester -
Cardiff -
Norwich -
Stevenage -
Reading -
Cambridge Utd -
Millwall -
Birmingham -
Brentford -
Southampton -
West Ham -
Watford -
Peterborough -
Fulham -
AFC Wimbledon -
Plymouth -
Coventry -
Chelsea -
Luton -
Tottenham -
Charlton -
Newcastle Utd -
West Brom -
Blackburn -
Sheffield Utd -
Nottingham -
Leeds -
Doncaster -
Middlesbrough -
Barnsley -
Crewe -
Preston -
Everton -
Stoke City -
Hull City -
Sheffield Wed -
Wolves -
Blackpool -
Lincoln City -
Fleetwood Town -
Shrewsbury -
Bradford City -
Burnley -
TBD -
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1/16-finals
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1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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