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Crystal Palace U23 vs West Ham U23

England England

Premier League 2 2021/2022 Crystal Palace Training Ground
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

This Premier League 2 2021/2022 encounter between Crystal Palace U23 and West Ham U23 promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Crystal Palace U23 averages 2.1 goals scored and 1.8 conceded in recent matches. West Ham U23 shows a form average of 2.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Both teams have demonstrated potent attacking threats recently, hinting at a potentially open and high-scoring contest. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Crystal Palace U23, 2 wins for West Ham U23, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 06.12.21 ended in a 2:4 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.66 for Crystal Palace U23 and 1.85 for West Ham U23, suggesting the primary value lies in the West Ham U23 double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

40%
Crystal Palace U23
15%
Uavgjort
45%
West Ham U23
Uavgjort-prognose: 15% Favoritt: West Ham U23

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

71% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Crystal Palace U23 har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med West Ham U23.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.66 vs 1.85 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for bortelaget.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 72%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 83%
Over 2.5 Mål 72%
Over 3.5 Mål 43%
Over 4.5 Mål 22%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 65%
Crystal Palace U23 Rent bur 10%
West Ham U23 Rent bur 10%
Mål 1. omgang 75%
Mål 2. omgang 79%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Crystal Palace U23 West Ham U23
Kamper Spilt 30 33
Seire 16 18
Uavgjort 3 3
Tap 11 12
Mål Scoret 2.07 2.03
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.8 1.45
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.57 2.00
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.71 1.75

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

06.12.21 Premier League 2
Crystal Palace U23 vs West Ham U23
2:4
24.09.21 Premier League 2
West Ham U23 vs Crystal Palace U23
1:0

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Crystal Palace U23

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

West Ham U23

Pressintensitet Aggressivt press (PPDA < 9.5)
Angrepsstil Holde på ballen
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Crystal Palace U23 Sammenlign

Toppscorer Rich-Baghuelou J.
1 Mål
Assister Rak-Sakyi J.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.21
Snitt xA / kamp 0.79

West Ham U23 Sammenlign

Toppscorer Oko-Flex A.
1 Mål
Assister Swyer K.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.82
Snitt xA / kamp 1.11

Skadesituasjon

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Crystal Palace U23 38 / 100
West Ham U23 43 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Crystal Palace U23 West Ham U23

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Double Chance: West Ham U23 or Draw (X2)
Sekundærtips Under 3.5 Goals
Halvtidstips Draw (HT)
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.4%
1.52
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Crystal Palace U23 44%
West Ham U23 36%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Crystal Palace U23 38%
West Ham U23 47%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Crystal Palace U23 40%
West Ham U23 45%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Crystal Palace U23 42%
West Ham U23 43%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Crystal Palace U23 36%
West Ham U23 50%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Crystal Palace U23 46%
West Ham U23 52%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Crystal Palace U23 angriper → ← angriper West Ham U23

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Crystal Palace U23 have found the net in 90% of their last 30 matches.

West Ham U23 have conceded at least one goal in 70% of their last 33 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 3.50 goals per match.

Crystal Palace U23 remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

West Ham U23 suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Moderat
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

51 Poeng siste 5 57
1.57 Forventede mål (xG) 2.00
1.71 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Manchester City U2326166465:3254
2West Ham U2326153859:3948
3Arsenal U23261011556:4841
4Liverpool U2326117847:3740
5Crystal Palace U23261231154:5039
6Manchester United U2326116946:4339
7Tottenham U2326107949:4537
8Leicester U2326107938:5337
9Blackburn U232698950:5635
10Brighton U2326971041:4134
11Everton U2326851333:5429
12Chelsea U2326771239:4728
13Leeds U2326761344:4927
14Derby U2326431931:5815
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Fulham U2326202464:2762
2Wolves U2326145746:3747
3Stoke City U2326127734:3643
4Nottingham U2326126852:3142
5Norwich U23261231164:5239
6Burnley U2326116946:3939
7Southampton U23261231145:4239
8Newcastle Utd U23261221251:5638
9West Brom U23261051144:5435
10Aston Villa U2326951253:5132
11Birmingham U2326751434:5126
12Middlesbrough U2326821631:5026
13Sunderland U2326731635:4924
14Reading U2326581332:5623