Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag Agdam

Europe Europe

Europa League National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia
tor. 30. juli 2026
VS
06:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

A one-off knockout match in the Europa League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Qarabag Agdam have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while CSKA Sofia have conceded 1.25 and scored 1.38. Past meetings favor Qarabag Agdam slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 23. juli 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.63, favoring CSKA Sofia. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

30%
CSKA Sofia
39%
Uavgjort
31%
Qarabag Agdam
Uavgjort-prognose: 39% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

65% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Qarabag Agdam at 2 per game, CSKA Sofia at 1.38.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Qarabag Agdam, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 85%
Over 1.5 Mål 63%
Over 2.5 Mål 25%
Over 3.5 Mål 22%
Over 4.5 Mål 10%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 29.2%
CSKA Sofia Rent bur 68%
Qarabag Agdam Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk CSKA Sofia Qarabag Agdam
Kamper Spilt 26 29
Seire 15 15
Uavgjort 5 5
Tap 6 9
Mål Scoret 1.38 2
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.25 1.25
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.38 2.00
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

23. juli 2026 Europa League
Qarabag Agdam vs CSKA Sofia
0:0
27. juni 2026 Club Friendly
CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag Agdam
0:0
4. juli 2023 Club Friendly
CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag Agdam
0:1
7. juli 2021 Club Friendly
CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag Agdam
0:1
24. juni 2017 Club Friendly
CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag Agdam
5:2

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

CSKA Sofia 41 / 100
Qarabag Agdam 30 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
CSKA Sofia Qarabag Agdam

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips CSK Win (1)
Sekundærtips Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Recent resilience: CSKA Sofia stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

CSKA Sofia scored in 69% of their last 26 games.

Qarabag Agdam let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Måltrender

CSKA Sofia VS Qarabag Agdam
1.38 Mål scoret 2
1.25 Mål sluppet inn 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CSKA Sofia

(Home)
27 Jul
CSKA Sofia
3 : 2
Botev Plovdiv
23 Jul
Qarabag Agdam
0 : 0
CSKA Sofia
20 Jul
Slavia Sofia
0 : 0
CSKA Sofia
16 Jul
Derry City
1 : 2
CSKA Sofia
09 Jul
CSKA Sofia
3 : 2
Derry City
Page 1 of 6

Qarabag Agdam

(Away)
23 Jul
Qarabag Agdam
0 : 0
CSKA Sofia
16 Jul
Vestri
0 : 3
Qarabag Agdam
09 Jul
Qarabag Agdam
3 : 0
Vestri
01 Jul
Ferencvaros
1 : 0
Qarabag Agdam
01 Jul
Qarabag Agdam
2 : 6
FC Kharkiv
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Tromso-
TBD-
TBD-
Hradec Kralove-
Besiktas-
TBD-
TBD-
Midtjylland-
Jagiellonia-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Rangers-
Dynamo Kyiv1
Universitatea Cluj0
TBD-
PAOK-
Hammarby-
TBD-
TBD-
Anderlecht-
Hajduk Split3
Zilina2
TBD-
Pafos-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Salzburg-
St. Gallen-
TBD-
TBD-
Benfica-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sheriff Tiraspol1
Aluminij0
TBD-
Maccabi Tel Aviv-
Qarabag Agdam6
Vestri0
CSKA Sofia5
Derry City3
Twente-
TBD-
Vojvodina1
Ferencvaros5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Quarter-finals
Tromso0
Hradec Kralove1
Besiktas1
Midtjylland0
Jagiellonia-
TBD-
TBD-
Rangers-
Dynamo Kyiv2
PAOK3
Hammarby1
Anderlecht1
Hajduk Split2
Pafos0
TBD-
Salzburg-
St. Gallen2
Benfica1
TBD-
TBD-
Sheriff Tiraspol0
Maccabi Tel Aviv5
Qarabag Agdam0
CSKA Sofia0
Twente1
Ferencvaros2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
Jagiellonia-
Rangers-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Salzburg-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-