Sport Picks

Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 1 2017/2018 Milcovul Stadium

AFC Harman

Vårt Tips

Sammendrag Seier Mål Form H2H Taktikk Spillere Indekser Tips Kampforløp Varmekart Risiko Presisjon Sammenlign

Kampsammendrag

This Liga 3 - Seria 1 2017/2018 encounter between CSM Focsani and AFC Harman promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. CSM Focsani averages 1.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded in recent matches. AFC Harman shows a form average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for CSM Focsani, 1 wins for AFC Harman, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 10.03.18 ended in a 0:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.10 for CSM Focsani and 1.06 for AFC Harman, suggesting the primary value lies in the AFC Harman double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

36%

CSM Focsani

22%

Uavgjort

42%

AFC Harman

Uavgjort-prognose: 22% Favoritt: AFC Harman

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

71% / Middels Sikkerhet

CSM Focsani har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med AFC Harman.
Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.10 vs 1.06 xG).
Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for bortelaget.
Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%

Over 1.5 Mål 72%

Over 2.5 Mål 54%

Over 3.5 Mål 32%

Over 4.5 Mål 16%

Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 38%

CSM Focsani Rent bur 22%

AFC Harman Rent bur 14%

Mål 1. omgang 65%

Mål 2. omgang 68%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk	CSM Focsani	AFC Harman
Kamper Spilt	39	35
Seire	13	13
Uavgjort	8	8
Tap	18	14
Mål Scoret	1.28	1.6
Mål Sluppet Inn	1.15	1.26

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

10.03.18 Liga 3 - Seria 1

CSM Focsani vs AFC Harman

Ballbesittelse: 57% - 59% Kort: 2 - 1

0:1

02.09.17 Liga 3 - Seria 1

AFC Harman vs CSM Focsani

Ballbesittelse: 55% - 46% Kort: 1 - 1

0:0

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

CSM Focsani

Pressintensitet Medium blokk

Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer

Flügelspill-Frekvens Spill gjennom midten

Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

AFC Harman

Pressintensitet Medium blokk

Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer

Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg

Forsvarsoppstilling Ligge dypt

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

CSM Focsani 37 / 100

AFC Harman 41 / 100

Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

CSM Focsani AFC Harman

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Double Chance: AFC Harman or Draw (X2)

Sekundærtips Under 3.5 Goals

Halvtidstips Draw (HT)

BTTS Prognose No (NG)

Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +28.5%

3.57

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.3%

2.08

*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

CSM Focsani 40%

AFC Harman 34%

15' - 30' Dominansindeks

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

CSM Focsani 34%

AFC Harman 44%

30' - 45' Dominansindeks

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

CSM Focsani 36%

AFC Harman 42%

45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

CSM Focsani 38%

AFC Harman 40%

60' - 75' Dominansindeks

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

CSM Focsani 32%

AFC Harman 46%

75' - 90' Dominansindeks

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

CSM Focsani 41%

AFC Harman 48%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

CSM Focsani angriper → ← angriper AFC Harman

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

CSM Focsani have found the net in 54% of their last 39 matches.

AFC Harman have conceded at least one goal in 66% of their last 35 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 0.50 goals per match.

CSM Focsani remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.

AFC Harman suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Moderat

Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

47 Poeng siste 5 47

1.00 Forventede mål (xG) 0.00

1.13 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Aerostar	28	21	5	2	80:20	68
2	Miercurea Ciuc	28	20	6	2	74:25	66
3	Otelul	28	17	9	2	55:15	60
4	Roman	28	14	4	10	60:41	46
5	Bucovina Radauti	28	13	6	9	41:24	45
6	AFC Harman	28	13	5	10	55:31	44
7	Sporting Liesti	28	13	5	10	48:35	44
8	Cetate Rasnov	28	12	8	8	41:28	44
9	Targu Secuiesc	28	12	6	10	69:45	42
10	CSM Focsani	28	11	8	9	47:36	41
11	Odorheiu	28	10	3	15	39:48	33
12	Sanatatea Darabani	28	8	6	14	41:52	30
13	CSM Pascani	28	6	2	20	30:75	20
14	Avantul Valea Marului	27	2	1	24	26:79	7
15	Metalosport Galati	27	0	0	27	2:154	-12