Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cyprus vs Lithuania

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 AEK Arena, Larnaca
Cyprus Logo

Cyprus

2 - 1
Slutt
Lithuania Logo

Lithuania

Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

18' Event
Kastanos G.
22'
Ioannou N.
41'
Kakoullis A.
Sammendrag Seier Mål Form H2H Taktikk Spillere Indekser Tips Kampforløp Presisjon Sammenlign

Kampsammendrag

Cyprus in this UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cyprus.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

40%
Cyprus
33%
Uavgjort
27%
Lithuania
Uavgjort-prognose: 33% Favoritt: Cyprus

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

70% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Cyprus have won more games recently than Lithuania.
  • Win probability leans Cyprus's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.
  • History favors Cyprus here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 91%
Over 1.5 Mål 81.5%
Over 2.5 Mål 25%
Over 3.5 Mål 22%
Over 4.5 Mål 10%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 29.6%
Cyprus Rent bur 68%
Lithuania Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Cyprus Lithuania
Kamper Spilt 28 28
Seire 8 6
Uavgjort 5 5
Tap 15 17
Mål Scoret 1.21 0.82
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.89 1.5
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.69 1.25
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

15. nov. 2024 UEFA Nations League
Cyprus vs Lithuania
2:1
6. sep. 2024 UEFA Nations League
Lithuania vs Cyprus
0:1
19. nov. 2023 Friendly International
Cyprus vs Lithuania
1:0
26. feb. 2001 Friendly International
Cyprus vs Lithuania
1:2
2. feb. 2000 Friendly International
Cyprus vs Lithuania
2:1

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Cyprus Sammenlign

Toppscorer Kastanos G.
1 Mål
Assister Tzionis M.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.3
Snitt xA / kamp 0.84

Lithuania Sammenlign

Toppscorer Gineitis G.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 1.14
Snitt xA / kamp 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Cyprus 50 / 100
Lithuania 26 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Cyprus Lithuania

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Cyprus Win (1)
Sekundærtips Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Cyprus scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Lithuania let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Cyprus remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Måltrender

Cyprus VS Lithuania
1.63 Mål scoret 0.75
1.75 Mål sluppet inn 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cyprus

(Home)
07 Jun
Liechtenstein
0 : 2
Cyprus
04 Jun
Slovenia
1 : 1
Cyprus
30 Mar
Cyprus
3 : 2
Moldova
26 Mar
Cyprus
0 : 1
Belarus
18 Nov
Cyprus
2 : 4
Estonia
Page 1 of 6

Lithuania

(Away)
09 Jun
Estonia
1 : 0
Lithuania
06 Jun
Lithuania
2 : 1
Latvia
29 Mar
Lithuania
0 : 2
Georgia
26 Mar
Moldova
0 : 2
Lithuania
17 Nov
Netherlands
4 : 0
Lithuania
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sweden 6 5 1 0 19:4 16
2 Slovakia 6 4 1 1 10:5 13
3 Estonia 6 1 1 4 3:9 4
4 Azerbaijan 6 0 1 5 3:17 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League C/D - Relegation)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Romania 6 6 0 0 18:3 18
2 Kosovo 6 4 0 2 10:7 12
3 Cyprus 6 2 0 4 4:15 6
4 Lithuania 6 0 0 6 4:11 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League C/D - Relegation)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Northern Ireland 6 3 2 1 11:3 11
2 Bulgaria 6 2 3 1 3:6 9
3 Belarus 6 1 4 1 3:4 7
4 Luxembourg 6 0 3 3 3:7 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League C/D - Relegation)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Macedonia 6 5 1 0 10:1 16
2 Armenia 6 2 1 3 8:9 7
3 Faroe Islands 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
4 Latvia 6 1 1 4 4:11 4
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League C/D - Relegation)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)