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Stadium Background

DC United vs Orlando City

USA USA

MLS Audi Field
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

This MLS encounter between DC United and Orlando City promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. DC United averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded in recent matches. Orlando City shows a form average of 1.7 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for DC United, 3 wins for Orlando City, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 25.04.26 ended in a 3:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 2.00 for DC United and 2.19 for Orlando City, suggesting the primary value lies in the Orlando City double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

33%
DC United
28%
Uavgjort
39%
Orlando City
Uavgjort-prognose: 28% Favoritt: Orlando City

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

71% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • DC United har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Orlando City.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (2.00 vs 2.19 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for bortelaget.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 62%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 84%
Over 2.5 Mål 62%
Over 3.5 Mål 37%
Over 4.5 Mål 19%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 70%
DC United Rent bur 10%
Orlando City Rent bur 10%
Mål 1. omgang 76%
Mål 2. omgang 80%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk DC United Orlando City
Kamper Spilt 28 30
Seire 5 9
Uavgjort 12 6
Tap 11 15
Mål Scoret 1.18 1.67
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.79 2.47
Forventede Mål (xG) 2.00 2.38
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 2.00 2.00

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

25.04.26 MLS
DC United vs Orlando City
3:2
13.09.25 MLS
DC United vs Orlando City
1:1
22.03.25 MLS
Orlando City vs DC United
4:1
06.07.24 MLS
Orlando City vs DC United
5:0
13.04.24 MLS
DC United vs Orlando City
2:3

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

DC United

Pressintensitet Aggressivt press (PPDA < 9.5)
Angrepsstil Holde på ballen
Flügelspill-Frekvens Spill gjennom midten
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Orlando City

Pressintensitet Aggressivt press (PPDA < 9.5)
Angrepsstil Holde på ballen
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

DC United Sammenlign

Toppscorer Hopkins J.
1 Mål
Assister Munteanu L.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.54
Snitt xA / kamp 1

Orlando City Sammenlign

Toppscorer Ellis J.
1 Mål
Assister Spicer T.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 2.16
Snitt xA / kamp 1.32

Skadesituasjon

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

DC United 32 / 100
Orlando City 37 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
DC United Orlando City

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Double Chance: Orlando City or Draw (X2)
Sekundærtips Under 3.5 Goals
Halvtidstips Draw (HT)
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

DC United 36%
Orlando City 31%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

DC United 31%
Orlando City 41%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

DC United 33%
Orlando City 39%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

DC United 35%
Orlando City 37%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

DC United 30%
Orlando City 43%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

DC United 38%
Orlando City 45%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

DC United angriper → ← angriper Orlando City

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

DC United have found the net in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Orlando City have conceded at least one goal in 97% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 4.40 goals per match.

DC United remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Orlando City suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Moderat
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

27 Poeng siste 5 33
2.00 Forventede mål (xG) 2.38
2.00 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

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4FC Dallas1574430:2225
5Los Angeles FC1573524:1724
6Seattle Sounders1373317:1124
7Houston Dynamo1471619:2322
8Minnesota United1564518:2222
9Los Angeles Galaxy1555522:2220
10San Diego FC1545630:2717
11Colorado Rapids1551925:2416
12St. Louis City1444616:2016
13Portland Timbers1442822:2814
14Austin FC1535719:3114
15Sporting Kansas City1432914:3611
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nashville SC14103131:1133
2Inter Miami1594239:2831
3Chicago Fire1482427:1626
4New England Revolution1481522:1825
5New York Red Bulls1564525:3222
6Charlotte FC1563624:2321
7FC Cincinnati1555536:3720
8New York City1554625:2119
9DC United1546521:2518
10Columbus Crew1544721:2316
11CF Montreal1442822:3114
12Orlando City1542923:4414
13Toronto FC1435622:2914
14Atlanta United1432914:2311
15Philadelphia Union15141018:307