Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Denmark U16 W vs Sweden U16 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2024 Teglpark stadion
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

This Friendly International Women 2024 encounter between Denmark U16 W and Sweden U16 W promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Denmark U16 W averages 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded in recent matches. Sweden U16 W shows a form average of 1.6 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Denmark U16 W, 2 wins for Sweden U16 W, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 16.11.24 ended in a 3:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 2.70 for Denmark U16 W and 1.35 for Sweden U16 W, suggesting the primary value lies in the Denmark U16 W double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

50%
Denmark U16 W
15%
Uavgjort
35%
Sweden U16 W
Uavgjort-prognose: 15% Favoritt: Denmark U16 W

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

76% / Høy Sikkerhet
  • Denmark U16 W har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Sweden U16 W.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (2.70 vs 1.35 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 75%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 89%
Over 1.5 Mål 90%
Over 2.5 Mål 75%
Over 3.5 Mål 45%
Over 4.5 Mål 23%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 59%
Denmark U16 W Rent bur 18%
Sweden U16 W Rent bur 10%
Mål 1. omgang 81%
Mål 2. omgang 86%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Denmark U16 W Sweden U16 W
Kamper Spilt 24 30
Seire 9 9
Uavgjort 5 2
Tap 10 19
Mål Scoret 1.79 1.63
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.79 2.07
Forventede Mål (xG) 3.14 2.00
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 0.71 2.25

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

16.11.24 Friendly International Women
Denmark U16 W vs Sweden U16 W
3:0
13.11.24 Friendly International Women
Denmark U16 W vs Sweden U16 W
3:0
15.09.22 Friendly International Women
Sweden U16 W vs Denmark U16 W
3:3
14.09.22 Friendly International Women
Sweden U16 W vs Denmark U16 W
4:2
04.07.22 Friendly International Women
Denmark U16 W vs Sweden U16 W
1:2

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Denmark U16 W

Pressintensitet Aggressivt press (PPDA < 9.5)
Angrepsstil Holde på ballen
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sweden U16 W

Pressintensitet Aggressivt press (PPDA < 9.5)
Angrepsstil Holde på ballen
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Denmark U16 W Sammenlign

Toppscorer Stokholm E.
1 Mål
Assister Jeppesen A.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 2.42
Snitt xA / kamp 1.57

Sweden U16 W Sammenlign

Toppscorer N/A
0 Mål
Assister N/A
0 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.82
Snitt xA / kamp 1.11

Skadesituasjon

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Denmark U16 W 49 / 100
Sweden U16 W 34 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Denmark U16 W Sweden U16 W

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Double Chance: Denmark U16 W or Draw (1X)
Sekundærtips Under 3.5 Goals
Halvtidstips Home Win (HT)
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.45
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Denmark U16 W 55%
Sweden U16 W 28%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Denmark U16 W 48%
Sweden U16 W 37%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Denmark U16 W 50%
Sweden U16 W 35%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Denmark U16 W 53%
Sweden U16 W 33%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Denmark U16 W 45%
Sweden U16 W 39%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Denmark U16 W 57%
Sweden U16 W 40%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Denmark U16 W angriper → ← angriper Sweden U16 W

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Denmark U16 W have found the net in 83% of their last 24 matches.

Sweden U16 W have conceded at least one goal in 90% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 4.20 goals per match.

Denmark U16 W remained undefeated in 5 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Sweden U16 W suffered defeat in 4 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Moderat
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Friendly match context where both Denmark U16 W and Sweden U16 W will focus on tactical prep rather than league table pressure.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

32 Poeng siste 5 29
3.14 Forventede mål (xG) 2.00
0.71 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 2.25