Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 Parken Stadium

Greece

Vårt Tips

Sammendrag Seier Mål Form H2H Taktikk Spillere Indekser Tips Kampforløp Varmekart Risiko Presisjon Sammenlign

Kampsammendrag

This World Championship 2026 encounter between Denmark and Greece promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Denmark averages 1.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded in recent matches. Greece shows a form average of 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 3 wins for Denmark, 1 wins for Greece, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 12.10.25 ended in a 3:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 2.38 for Denmark and 1.31 for Greece, suggesting the primary value lies in the Denmark double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

43%

Denmark

21%

Uavgjort

36%

Greece

Uavgjort-prognose: 21% Favoritt: Denmark

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

72% / Middels Sikkerhet

Denmark har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Greece.
Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (2.38 vs 1.31 xG).
Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 90%

Over 1.5 Mål 77%

Over 2.5 Mål 55%

Over 3.5 Mål 33%

Over 4.5 Mål 17%

Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 40%

Denmark Rent bur 18%

Greece Rent bur 10%

Mål 1. omgang 69%

Mål 2. omgang 73%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk	Denmark	Greece
Kamper Spilt	30	30
Seire	14	15
Uavgjort	9	4
Tap	7	11
Mål Scoret	1.73	1.77
Mål Sluppet Inn	1.03	1.03
Forventede Mål (xG)	3.13	1.75
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA)	0.88	1.63

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

12.10.25 World Championship

Denmark vs Greece

Ballbesittelse: 59% - 43% Kort: 0 - 3

3:1

08.09.25 World Championship

Greece vs Denmark

Ballbesittelse: 54% - 50% Kort: 2 - 3

0:3

11.02.09 Friendly International

Greece vs Denmark

Ballbesittelse: 42% - 46% Kort: 2 - 4

1:1

08.10.05 World Championship

Denmark vs Greece

Ballbesittelse: 50% - 45% Kort: 1 - 2

1:0

09.02.05 World Championship

Greece vs Denmark

Ballbesittelse: 56% - 42% Kort: 2 - 1

2:1

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Denmark

Pressintensitet Aggressivt press (PPDA < 9.5)

Angrepsstil Holde på ballen

Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg

Forsvarsoppstilling Ligge dypt

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Greece

Pressintensitet Aggressivt press (PPDA < 9.5)

Angrepsstil Holde på ballen

Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg

Forsvarsoppstilling Ligge dypt

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Denmark Sammenlign

Toppscorer Hojlund R.

1 Mål

Assister Andersen J.

1 Ast

Snitt xG / kamp 2.41

Snitt xA / kamp 1.56

Greece Sammenlign

Toppscorer Tzolis C.

1 Mål

Assister N/A

0 Ast

Snitt xG / kamp 1.59

Snitt xA / kamp 0.97

Skadesituasjon

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Denmark 42 / 100

Greece 34 / 100

Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

Denmark Greece

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Double Chance: Denmark or Draw (1X)

Sekundærtips Under 3.5 Goals

Halvtidstips Home Win (HT)

BTTS Prognose No (NG)

Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23%

2.86

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.2%

2.04

*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Denmark 47%

Greece 29%

15' - 30' Dominansindeks

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Denmark 41%

Greece 38%

30' - 45' Dominansindeks

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Denmark 43%

Greece 36%

45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Denmark 45%

Greece 34%

60' - 75' Dominansindeks

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Denmark 39%

Greece 40%

75' - 90' Dominansindeks

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Denmark 49%

Greece 41%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Denmark angriper → ← angriper Greece

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Denmark have found the net in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Greece have conceded at least one goal in 57% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.60 goals per match.

Denmark remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Greece suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Moderat

Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

51 Poeng siste 5 49

3.13 Forventede mål (xG) 1.75

0.88 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Germany	6	5	1	16:3	15
2	Slovakia	6	4	2	6:8	12
3	Northern Ireland	6	3	3	7:6	9
4	Luxembourg	6	0	6	1:13	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	6	4	2	0	14:2	14
2	Kosovo	6	3	2	1	6:5	11
3	Slovenia	6	0	4	2	3:8	4
4	Sweden	6	0	2	4	4:12	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Scotland	6	4	1	1	13:7	13
2	Denmark	6	3	2	1	16:7	11
3	Greece	6	2	1	3	10:12	7
4	Belarus	6	0	2	4	4:17	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	France	6	5	1	0	16:4	16
2	Ukraine	6	3	1	2	10:11	10
3	Iceland	6	2	1	3	13:11	7
4	Azerbaijan	6	0	1	5	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Spain	6	5	1	0	21:2	16
2	Turkey	6	4	1	1	17:12	13
3	Georgia	6	1	0	5	7:15	3
4	Bulgaria	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portugal	6	4	1	1	20:7	13
2	Ireland	6	3	1	2	9:7	10
3	Hungary	6	2	2	2	11:10	8
4	Armenia	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	8	6	2	0	27:4	20
2	Poland	8	5	2	1	14:7	17
3	Finland	8	3	1	4	8:14	10
4	Malta	8	1	2	5	4:19	5
5	Lithuania	8	0	3	5	6:15	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Austria	8	6	1	1	22:4	19
2	Bosnia & Herzegovina	8	5	2	1	17:7	17
3	Romania	8	4	1	3	19:10	13
4	Cyprus	8	2	2	4	11:11	8
5	San Marino	8	0	0	8	2:39	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Norway	8	8	0	0	37:5	24
2	Italy	8	6	0	2	21:12	18
3	Israel	8	4	0	4	19:20	12
4	Estonia	8	1	1	6	8:21	4
5	Moldova	8	0	1	7	5:32	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	8	5	3	0	29:7	18
2	Wales	8	5	1	2	21:11	16
3	North Macedonia	8	3	4	1	13:10	13
4	Kazakhstan	8	2	2	4	9:13	8
5	Liechtenstein	8	0	0	8	0:31	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	England	8	8	0	0	22:0	24
2	Albania	8	4	2	2	7:5	14
3	Serbia	8	4	1	3	9:10	13
4	Latvia	8	1	2	5	5:15	5
5	Andorra	8	0	1	7	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Croatia	8	7	1	0	26:4	22
2	Czech Republic	8	5	1	2	18:8	16
3	Faroe Islands	8	4	0	4	11:9	12
4	Montenegro	8	3	0	5	8:17	9
5	Gibraltar	8	0	0	8	3:28	0