Sport Picks
Deportivo Murcia vs Bala Azul
Spania
Tercera Division - Group 13 2008/2009 
Kampsammendrag
This Tercera Division - Group 13 2008/2009 encounter between Deportivo Murcia and Bala Azul promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Deportivo Murcia averages 1.9 goals scored and 1.7 conceded in recent matches. Bala Azul shows a form average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Deportivo Murcia, 0 wins for Bala Azul, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 25.01.09 ended in a 4:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.17 for Deportivo Murcia and 1.11 for Bala Azul, suggesting the primary value lies in the Deportivo Murcia double chance or over markets.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Deportivo Murcia har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Bala Azul.
- Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.17 vs 1.11 xG).
- Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 57%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Deportivo Murcia | Bala Azul |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 30 | 31 |
| Seire | 12 | 7 |
| Uavgjort | 6 | 14 |
| Tap | 12 | 10 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.9 | 1.16 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.67 | 1.23 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
Taktisk Profil
Posisjonering og Kontrollstil
Deportivo Murcia
Bala Azul
Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne
Erventet Kampforløp
Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker
Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.
The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.
The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.
Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.
As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.
A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.
Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd
Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Deportivo Murcia have found the net in 87% of their last 30 matches.
Bala Azul have conceded at least one goal in 68% of their last 31 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 4.00 goals per match.
Deportivo Murcia remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Bala Azul suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Statistikk-sammenligning
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caravaca | 38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 115:26 | 87 |
| 2 | Moratalla | 38 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 82:32 | 83 |
| 3 | Cartagena La Union | 38 | 23 | 11 | 4 | 76:27 | 80 |
| 4 | Yeclano | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 83:37 | 80 |
| 5 | Pinatar | 38 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 77:37 | 72 |
| 6 | Mazarron CF | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 81:46 | 67 |
| 7 | Ciudad Cieza | 38 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 77:45 | 62 |
| 8 | Futbol Club Jumilla | 38 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 63:35 | 62 |
| 9 | Beniel | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 39:32 | 56 |
| 10 | Santomera | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 51:66 | 49 |
| 11 | CA Pulpileno | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50:67 | 46 |
| 12 | Deportivo Murcia | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 59:56 | 45 |
| 13 | Lorca Deportiva II | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 49:54 | 42 |
| 14 | Bala Azul | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 52:86 | 40 |
| 15 | Plus Ultra | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 43:64 | 40 |
| 16 | Calasparra FC | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 43:60 | 40 |
| 17 | CD Lumbreras | 38 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 41:90 | 30 |
| 18 | Pozo Estrecho | 38 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 40:88 | 30 |
| 19 | Muleno CF | 38 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 33:85 | 23 |
| 20 | Ciudad Lorca | 38 | 4 | 2 | 32 | 32:153 | 9 |