Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Derby U23 vs Reading U23

England England

Premier League Cup 2021/2022
Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

1' Event
Hutchinson I.
43' Event
Plange L.
84' Event
Senga-Ngoyi J.

Kampsammendrag

This match ends 2-1, with Derby U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

4%
Derby U23
6%
Uavgjort
90%
Reading U23
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Reading U23

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

95% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Derby U23 come out ahead of Reading U23 on wins alone.
  • Reading U23 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Derby U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Derby U23, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Derby U23 have taken 3 of them.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 99%
Over 1.5 Mål 88%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 56.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 25%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 79%
Derby U23 Rent bur 10%
Reading U23 Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Derby U23 Reading U23
Kamper Spilt 30 30
Seire 10 5
Uavgjort 3 7
Tap 17 18
Mål Scoret 1.75 1.38
Mål Sluppet Inn 2.75 2.38
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.75 1.38
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 2.75 2.38

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

14. feb. 2022 Premier League Cup
Reading U23 vs Derby U23
1:3
15. nov. 2021 Premier League Cup
Derby U23 vs Reading U23
2:1
30. jan. 2017 Premier League 2
Reading U23 vs Derby U23
3:3
26. sep. 2016 Premier League 2
Derby U23 vs Reading U23
2:1

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Derby U23 Sammenlign

Toppscorer Hutchinson I.
1 Mål
Assister Plange L.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.35
Snitt xA / kamp 0.88

Reading U23 Sammenlign

Toppscorer Senga-Ngoyi J.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 1.25
Snitt xA / kamp 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Derby U23 10 / 100
Reading U23 83 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Derby U23 Reading U23

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips REA Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Reading U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Derby U23 found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Reading U23's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Måltrender

Derby U23 VS Reading U23
1.75 Mål scoret 1.38
2.75 Mål sluppet inn 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Derby U23

(Home)
09 May
Crystal Palace U23
3 : 1
Derby U23
02 May
West Ham U23
5 : 0
Derby U23
25 Apr
Derby U23
0 : 1
Tottenham U23
15 Apr
Leicester U23
2 : 1
Derby U23
10 Apr
Derby U23
3 : 4
West Brom U23
Page 1 of 6

Reading U23

(Away)
01 May
Middlesbrough U23
2 : 1
Reading U23
25 Apr
Reading U23
3 : 1
Fulham U23
01 Apr
Reading U23
1 : 1
West Brom U23
20 Mar
Southampton U23
2 : 1
Reading U23
14 Mar
Reading U23
2 : 1
Burnley U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Brom U23 6 4 1 1 18:8 13
2 Arsenal U23 6 2 2 2 11:12 8
3 Bournemouth U23 6 2 2 2 8:9 8
4 Southampton U23 6 0 3 3 7:15 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough U23 6 3 0 3 13:10 9
2 QPR U23 6 3 0 3 15:14 9
3 Blackburn U23 6 3 0 3 16:16 9
4 Nottingham U23 6 3 0 3 13:17 9
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Derby U23 6 5 1 0 17:9 16
2 Charlton U23 6 3 1 2 14:6 10
3 Norwich U23 6 1 2 3 12:16 5
4 Reading U23 6 1 0 5 6:18 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Peterborough U23 6 3 1 2 13:8 10
2 Sheffield Utd U23 6 3 1 2 9:10 10
3 Everton U23 6 3 0 3 8:9 9
4 Burnley U23 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wigan U23 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Leeds U23 6 2 2 2 10:10 8
3 Sunderland U23 6 1 3 2 9:13 6
4 Mansfield U23 6 1 2 3 7:9 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U23 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
2 Wolves U23 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
3 Exeter U23 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
4 Swansea U23 6 0 3 3 7:12 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield U23 6 5 1 0 17:3 16
2 Newcastle Utd U23 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
3 Watford U23 6 2 0 4 7:15 6
4 Birmingham U23 6 1 0 5 6:15 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U23 6 5 1 0 14:4 16
2 Stoke City U23 6 3 0 3 15:11 9
3 Colchester U23 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
4 Southend U23 6 1 1 4 4:16 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)