Sport Picks
Kampsammendrag
Derincespor enters this TFF 3. Lig Group 2 2014/2015 fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 58%. Derincespor averages 1.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded in recent matches. Cankirispor shows a form average of 0.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Derincespor, 0 wins for Cankirispor, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 03.05.15 ended in a 3:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.10 for Derincespor and 1.31 for Cankirispor, suggesting the primary value lies in the Derincespor double chance or over markets.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Derincespor har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Cankirispor.
- Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.10 vs 1.31 xG).
- Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
- Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Derincespor | Cankirispor |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 33 | 31 |
| Seire | 6 | 4 |
| Uavgjort | 10 | 4 |
| Tap | 17 | 23 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.03 | 0.77 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.67 | 2.23 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
Taktisk Profil
Posisjonering og Kontrollstil
Derincespor
Cankirispor
Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne
Erventet Kampforløp
Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker
Derincespor is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
Cankirispor will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Derincespor's attacks.
Expect Derincespor to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Derincespor vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for Cankirispor, allowing Derincespor's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from Derincespor, while Cankirispor takes risks to salvage a result.
Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd
Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Derincespor have found the net in 61% of their last 33 matches.
Cankirispor have conceded at least one goal in 87% of their last 31 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 2.50 goals per match.
Derincespor remained undefeated in 1 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Cankirispor suffered defeat in 5 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Statistikk-sammenligning
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eyupspor | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 50:25 | 71 |
| 2 | Sivas Dort | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 41:24 | 63 |
| 3 | Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) | 34 | 16 | 14 | 4 | 48:27 | 62 |
| 4 | Saraykoy 1926 | 34 | 19 | 3 | 12 | 46:34 | 60 |
| 5 | Golcukspor | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 48:37 | 56 |
| 6 | Kemerspor 2003 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 55:46 | 53 |
| 7 | Maltepespor | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 42:36 | 48 |
| 8 | Derincespor | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 44:44 | 48 |
| 9 | Dardanelspor | 34 | 10 | 17 | 7 | 35:28 | 47 |
| 10 | Sancaktepe | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 44:40 | 45 |
| 11 | Yesil Bursa | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 42:32 | 44 |
| 12 | Arsinspor | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 40:36 | 44 |
| 13 | Payasspor | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 40:41 | 43 |
| 14 | Cine Madran | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 40:52 | 37 |
| 15 | 24Erzincanspor | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 36:52 | 36 |
| 16 | Beyoglu Yeni Carsi | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 32:54 | 32 |
| 17 | Yeni Aksarayspor | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 21:43 | 30 |
| 18 | Cankirispor | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 22:75 | 11 |