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Derry City vs St. Patricks - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium, Derry
man. 19. okt. 2026
VS
06:45 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Derry City host St. Patricks in the Premier Division. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. St. Patricks have shipped 0.97 goals a game lately, while Derry City have conceded 1.28 and scored 1.44. Head-to-head, Derry City have won 1 to St. Patricks's 0, with 4 draws. They last met on 2. aug. 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.56 - 1.56) back St. Patricks to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

31%
Derry City
40%
Uavgjort
29%
St. Patricks
Uavgjort-prognose: 40% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

66% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and St. Patricks come out ahead of Derry City on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 98%
Over 1.5 Mål 87.5%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 71.8%
Derry City Rent bur 15%
St. Patricks Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Derry City St. Patricks
Kamper Spilt 32 30
Seire 10 15
Uavgjort 12 7
Tap 10 8
Mål Scoret 1.44 1.6
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.28 0.97
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.56 1.56
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

2. aug. 2026 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Derry City
1:1
22. mai 2026 Premier Division
Derry City vs St. Patricks
0:0
16. mars 2026 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Derry City
0:0
29. aug. 2025 Premier Division
Derry City vs St. Patricks
2:2
23. juni 2025 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Derry City
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Derry City 31 / 100
St. Patricks 28 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Derry City St. Patricks

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Solid form: Derry City remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Derry City scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

St. Patricks let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Måltrender

Derry City VS St. Patricks
2 Mål scoret 1.5
1.63 Mål sluppet inn 1.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Derry City

(Home)
18 Sept
Derry City
1 : 0
Galway United
14 Sept
Waterford
2 : 2
Derry City
11 Sept
Shelbourne
0 : 1
Derry City
06 Sept
Derry City
4 : 2
Dundalk
30 Aug
Derry City
3 : 3
Shamrock Rovers
Page 1 of 7

St. Patricks

(Away)
19 Sept
Sligo Rovers
0 : 1
St. Patricks
14 Sept
Dundalk
0 : 4
St. Patricks
11 Sept
St. Patricks
2 : 0
Shamrock Rovers
05 Sept
St. Patricks
1 : 2
Bohemians
28 Aug
St. Patricks
0 : 2
Waterford
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Patricks 32 17 8 7 52:25 59
2 Bohemians 32 17 8 7 57:38 59
3 Shamrock Rovers 31 17 8 6 49:31 59
4 Derry City 32 9 14 9 45:42 41
5 Dundalk 33 10 11 12 50:55 41
6 Shelbourne 32 9 13 10 42:45 40
7 Galway United 32 9 11 12 42:48 38
8 Waterford 32 7 13 12 44:54 34
9 Drogheda 32 8 10 14 38:51 34
10 Sligo Rovers 32 5 8 19 24:54 23
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)