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Stadium Background

D.R. Congo vs Ethiopia

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Stade des Martyrs, Kinshasa
D.R. Congo Logo

D.R. Congo

1 - 2
Slutt
Ethiopia Logo

Ethiopia

Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

36' Event
Desta B.
Assist: Wolde B.
46'
Bytte
Sadiki N. Inn: Balikwisha W.
Ut: Sadiki N.
46'
Bytte
Kioso P. Inn: Kalulu G.
Ut: Kioso P.
Sammendrag Seier Mål Form H2H Taktikk Spillere Indekser Tips Kampforløp Presisjon Sammenlign

Kampsammendrag

Ethiopia in this Africa Cup of Nations 2025 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

31%
D.R. Congo
39%
Uavgjort
30%
Ethiopia
Uavgjort-prognose: 39% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

65% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Ethiopia haven't matched D.R. Congo's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • D.R. Congo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ethiopia, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and D.R. Congo have taken 3 of them.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 85%
Over 1.5 Mål 51.5%
Over 2.5 Mål 25%
Over 3.5 Mål 0%
Over 4.5 Mål 0%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 26.8%
D.R. Congo Rent bur 26%
Ethiopia Rent bur 68%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk D.R. Congo Ethiopia
Kamper Spilt 32 29
Seire 19 11
Uavgjort 4 5
Tap 9 13
Mål Scoret 1.44 1.14
Mål Sluppet Inn 0.75 1.21
Forventede Mål (xG) 0.85 0.79
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

19. nov. 2024 Africa Cup of Nations
D.R. Congo vs Ethiopia
1:2
9. sep. 2024 Africa Cup of Nations
Ethiopia vs D.R. Congo
0:2
17. jan. 2016 African Nations Championship
D.R. Congo vs Ethiopia
3:0
18. jan. 1968 Africa Cup of Nations
Ethiopia vs D.R. Congo
2:3

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

D.R. Congo Sammenlign

Toppscorer Batubinsika D.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 0.65
Snitt xA / kamp 0.42

Ethiopia Sammenlign

Toppscorer Desta B.
1 Mål
Assister Nassir M.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 0.72
Snitt xA / kamp 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

D.R. Congo 33 / 100
Ethiopia 41 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
D.R. Congo Ethiopia

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Ethiopia Win (2)
Sekundærtips Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

D.R. Congo scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Ethiopia has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

D.R. Congo has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Måltrender

D.R. Congo VS Ethiopia
1.5 Mål scoret 1.2
0.38 Mål sluppet inn 0.2
63% Over 1.5 40%
25% Over 2.5 20%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

D.R. Congo

(Home)
01 Jul
England
2 : 1
D.R. Congo
27 Jun
D.R. Congo
3 : 1
Uzbekistan
24 Jun
Colombia
1 : 0
D.R. Congo
17 Jun
Portugal
1 : 1
D.R. Congo
09 Jun
D.R. Congo
1 : 2
Chile
Page 1 of 7

Ethiopia

(Away)
09 Jun
Ethiopia
1 : 1
Malawi
06 Jun
Ethiopia
1 : 0
Malawi
31 Mar
Ethiopia
1 : 0
Sao Tome and Principe
27 Mar
Sao Tome and Principe
0 : 3
Ethiopia
12 Oct
Burkina Faso
3 : 1
Ethiopia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comoros 6 3 3 0 7:4 12
2 Tunisia 6 3 1 2 7:6 10
3 Gambia 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
4 Madagascar 6 0 2 4 4:8 2
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 6 6 0 0 26:2 18
2 Gabon 6 3 1 2 7:9 10
3 Lesotho 6 1 1 4 2:13 4
4 Central Africa 6 1 0 5 3:14 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt 6 4 2 0 12:2 14
2 Botswana 6 2 2 2 4:7 8
3 Mauritania 6 2 1 3 3:6 7
4 Cape Verde 6 1 1 4 3:7 4
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nigeria 6 3 2 1 9:3 11
2 Benin 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
3 Rwanda 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
4 Libya 6 1 2 3 3:7 5
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 6 5 1 0 16:2 16
2 Equatorial Guinea 6 2 2 2 5:8 8
3 Togo 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
4 Liberia 6 1 1 4 4:12 4
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Angola 6 4 2 0 7:2 14
2 Sudan 6 2 2 2 4:6 8
3 Niger 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
4 Ghana 6 0 3 3 3:7 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zambia 6 4 1 1 7:4 13
2 Ivory Coast 6 4 0 2 12:3 12
3 Sierra Leone 6 1 2 3 5:10 5
4 Chad 6 0 3 3 1:8 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D.R. Congo 6 4 0 2 7:3 12
2 Tanzania 6 3 1 2 5:4 10
3 Guinea 6 3 0 3 9:5 9
4 Ethiopia 6 1 1 4 3:12 4
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mali 6 4 2 0 10:1 14
2 Mozambique 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
3 Guinea Bissau 6 1 2 3 4:6 5
4 Eswatini 6 0 2 4 2:13 2
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon 6 4 2 0 8:2 14
2 Zimbabwe 6 2 3 1 6:4 9
3 Kenya 6 1 3 2 4:7 6
4 Namibia 6 0 2 4 2:7 2
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa 6 4 2 0 16:5 14
2 Uganda 6 4 1 1 8:5 13
3 Congo 6 1 1 4 4:12 4
4 South Sudan 6 1 0 5 6:12 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal 6 5 1 0 10:1 16
2 Burkina Faso 6 3 1 2 10:7 10
3 Burundi 6 1 1 4 4:11 4
4 Malawi 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)