Sport Picks
Dragones Toluca vs Celaya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 
Kamphendelser
21'
21'
73'
73'
Kampsammendrag
The Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 game between Dragones Toluca and Celaya finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Celaya.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
4%
6%
90%
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Celaya
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
95%
/ Svært Høy Sikkerhet
- Look at the last few games and Celaya come out ahead of Dragones Toluca on wins alone.
- Celaya are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 44%
Over 4.5 Mål 20%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 29.2%
Dragones Toluca Rent bur 10%
Celaya Rent bur 68%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Dragones Toluca | Celaya |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 30 | 33 |
| Seire | 4 | 19 |
| Uavgjort | 3 | 6 |
| Tap | 23 | 8 |
| Mål Scoret | 0.83 | 1.94 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 2.17 | 1.21 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.19 | 2.00 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
24. jan. 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Dragones Toluca vs Celaya
0:2
7. sep. 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Celaya vs Dragones Toluca
3:2
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Dragones Toluca 10 / 100
Celaya 95 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Dragones Toluca Celaya
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Celaya Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.
Dragones Toluca's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Celaya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 33 matches.
Dragones Toluca has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Måltrender
Dragones Toluca VS Celaya
1 Mål scoret 1.75
2.25 Mål sluppet inn 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Dragones Toluca
(Home) 12 Apr
Tapachula
4 : 0 Dragones Toluca
28 Mar
Dragones Toluca
0 : 1 Deportiva Venados
22 Mar
Neza FC
1 : 4 Dragones Toluca
07 Mar
Dragones Toluca
0 : 3 Canoneros FC
28 Feb
Pioneros
3 : 1 Dragones Toluca
Page 1 of 6
28 Mar
Dragones Toluca
0 : 1 Deportiva Venados
07 Mar
Dragones Toluca
0 : 3 Canoneros FC
21 Feb
Dragones Toluca
0 : 1 Jaguares De Chiapas
07 Feb
Dragones Toluca
0 : 0 Inter Playa Del Carmen
24 Jan
Dragones Toluca
0 : 2 Celaya
Page 1 of 3
Celaya
(Away) 06 Oct
Celaya
0 : 1 Jaguares De Chiapas
26 Sept
Deportiva Venados
2 : 3 Celaya
20 Sept
Celaya
2 : 1 Montaneses
12 Sept
Chapulineros
1 : 1 Celaya
06 Sept
Celaya
2 : 0 Tapachula
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Deportiva Venados
2 : 3 Celaya
12 Sept
Chapulineros
1 : 1 Celaya
29 Aug
Pioneros
0 : 3 Celaya
26 Apr
Cimarrones de Sonora
2 : 2 Celaya
18 Apr
Leones Negros 2
1 : 2 Celaya
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alacranes de Durango | 26 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 71:16 | 74 |
| 2 | Tigres de Alica | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 46:25 | 56 |
| 3 | Cimarrones de Sonora | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 46:19 | 54 |
| 4 | Leones Negros 2 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 42:26 | 53 |
| 5 | Tecos | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 49:34 | 49 |
| 6 | Tritones Vallarta | 26 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 32:27 | 46 |
| 7 | Mineros de Fresnillo | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 40:41 | 39 |
| 8 | Los Cabos United | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 37:40 | 37 |
| 9 | Guerreros de Autlan | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 38:42 | 32 |
| 10 | UA Zacatecas | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 32:49 | 29 |
| 11 | Ensenada FC | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 30:55 | 28 |
| 12 | Reboceros de La Piedad | 26 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 39:66 | 23 |
| 13 | Zapotlanejo | 26 | 6 | 1 | 19 | 39:73 | 21 |
| 14 | Colima FC | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 24:52 | 17 |
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Apodaca | 26 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 47:19 | 66 |
| 2 | FC Santiago | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 43:21 | 51 |
| 3 | Zacatepec | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 29:15 | 45 |
| 4 | Halcones de Zapopan | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 44:27 | 44 |
| 5 | Calor De San Pedro | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 37:26 | 44 |
| 6 | Gavilanes de Matamoros | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 31:22 | 44 |
| 7 | Lobos ULMX | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33:28 | 40 |
| 8 | Correcaminos 2 | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 27:25 | 36 |
| 9 | Chilpancingo | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 33:41 | 35 |
| 10 | Cordobes FC | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:30 | 30 |
| 11 | Zitacuaro | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 22:31 | 28 |
| 12 | CS Canamy | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 33:53 | 26 |
| 13 | Ciervos | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 20:50 | 18 |
| 14 | Atletico Hidalgo | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 22:62 | 16 |
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing de Veracruz | 24 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 55:9 | 71 |
| 2 | Deportiva Venados | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 61:25 | 52 |
| 3 | Tapachula | 24 | 13 | 0 | 11 | 51:35 | 44 |
| 4 | Celaya | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 42:32 | 43 |
| 5 | Inter Playa Del Carmen | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 35:28 | 42 |
| 6 | Montaneses | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 35:28 | 38 |
| 7 | Pioneros | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 35:35 | 35 |
| 8 | Jaguares De Chiapas | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 33:32 | 34 |
| 9 | Heroes de Zaci | 24 | 10 | 2 | 12 | 33:46 | 34 |
| 10 | Chapulineros | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 21:33 | 23 |
| 11 | Canoneros FC | 24 | 7 | 1 | 16 | 25:49 | 22 |
| 12 | Neza FC | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 25:73 | 19 |
| 13 | Dragones Toluca | 24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 21:47 | 17 |
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
