Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Drogheda vs Bohemians

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Sullivan & Lambe Park
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

This Premier Division encounter between Drogheda and Bohemians promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Drogheda averages 1.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded in recent matches. Bohemians shows a form average of 1.7 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Drogheda, 3 wins for Bohemians, and 2 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 03.07.26 ended in a 0:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.50 for Drogheda and 1.94 for Bohemians, suggesting the primary value lies in the Bohemians double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

24%
Drogheda
35%
Uavgjort
41%
Bohemians
Uavgjort-prognose: 35% Favoritt: Bohemians

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

77% / Høy Sikkerhet
  • Drogheda har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Bohemians.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.50 vs 1.94 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for bortelaget.
  • Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 91%
Over 1.5 Mål 78%
Over 2.5 Mål 54%
Over 3.5 Mål 32%
Over 4.5 Mål 16%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 66%
Drogheda Rent bur 10%
Bohemians Rent bur 10%
Mål 1. omgang 70%
Mål 2. omgang 74%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Drogheda Bohemians
Kamper Spilt 27 33
Seire 6 15
Uavgjort 10 10
Tap 11 8
Mål Scoret 1.26 1.67
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.7 1.12
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.13 2.13
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.75 1.88
Ballbesittelse % N/A N/A
Skudd N/A N/A
Skudd på Mål N/A N/A
Cornere N/A N/A
Kort N/A N/A

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

03.07.26 Premier Division
Drogheda vs Bohemians
0:2
15.05.26 Premier Division
Bohemians vs Drogheda
2:1
03.04.26 Premier Division
Drogheda vs Bohemians
0:0
09.01.26 Club Friendly
Drogheda vs Bohemians
1:1
01.11.25 Premier Division
Drogheda vs Bohemians
1:4

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Drogheda

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Spill gjennom midten
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Bohemians

Pressintensitet Aggressivt press (PPDA < 9.5)
Angrepsstil Holde på ballen
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Ligge dypt
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Squad Roster & Injury Alerts Unavailable

Real-time squad lineups, player goal/assist metrics, and live availability/injury alerts are currently not available. This section is currently flagged as: Needs a Real Data Source.

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Drogheda 24 / 100
Bohemians 39 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Drogheda Bohemians

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Double Chance: Bohemians or Draw (X2)
Sekundærtips Under 3.5 Goals
Halvtidstips Draw (HT)
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +50%
6.25
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Drogheda 26%
Bohemians 33%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Drogheda 23%
Bohemians 43%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Drogheda 24%
Bohemians 41%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Drogheda 25%
Bohemians 39%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Drogheda 22%
Bohemians 45%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Drogheda 28%
Bohemians 47%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Drogheda angriper → ← angriper Bohemians

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Drogheda have found the net in 85% of their last 27 matches.

Bohemians have conceded at least one goal in 70% of their last 33 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.40 goals per match.

Drogheda remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Bohemians suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Moderat
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Presisjons-Dashboard

History Log Unavailable

Historical prediction accuracy logs and success dashboards require a live connection to a completed tips outcome database. This section is currently flagged as: Needs a Real Data Source.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

28 Poeng siste 5 55
1.13 Forventede mål (xG) 2.13
1.75 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 1.88
N/A Ballbesittelse % N/A
N/A Skudd per kamp N/A
N/A Skudd på mål N/A
N/A Corner per kamp N/A
N/A Kort per kamp N/A