Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dundalk vs Galway United

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Oriel Park
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

This Premier Division encounter between Dundalk and Galway United promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Dundalk averages 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded in recent matches. Galway United shows a form average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Dundalk, 1 wins for Galway United, and 2 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 12.06.26 ended in a 0:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.63 for Dundalk and 1.50 for Galway United, suggesting the primary value lies in the Dundalk double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

40%
Dundalk
34%
Uavgjort
26%
Galway United
Uavgjort-prognose: 34% Favoritt: Dundalk

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

75% / Høy Sikkerhet
  • Dundalk har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Galway United.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.63 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
  • Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 83%
Over 2.5 Mål 53%
Over 3.5 Mål 32%
Over 4.5 Mål 16%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 67%
Dundalk Rent bur 16%
Galway United Rent bur 10%
Mål 1. omgang 75%
Mål 2. omgang 79%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Dundalk Galway United
Kamper Spilt 27 28
Seire 12 8
Uavgjort 9 8
Tap 6 12
Mål Scoret 1.78 1.29
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.37 1.64
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.50 1.63
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.38 1.75

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

12.06.26 Premier Division
Galway United vs Dundalk
0:1
17.04.26 Premier Division
Dundalk vs Galway United
2:1
06.03.26 Premier Division
Galway United vs Dundalk
2:2
04.10.24 Premier Division
Galway United vs Dundalk
1:1
02.08.24 Premier Division
Dundalk vs Galway United
0:2

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Dundalk

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Galway United

Pressintensitet Aggressivt press (PPDA < 9.5)
Angrepsstil Holde på ballen
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Dundalk Sammenlign

Toppscorer McDaid D.
2 Mål
Assister N/A
0 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.15
Snitt xA / kamp 0.75

Galway United Sammenlign

Toppscorer Walsh S.
1 Mål
Assister N/A
0 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.48
Snitt xA / kamp 0.91

Skadesituasjon

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Dundalk 39 / 100
Galway United 25 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Dundalk Galway United

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Double Chance: Dundalk or Draw (1X)
Sekundærtips Under 3.5 Goals
Halvtidstips Home Win (HT)
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Dundalk 44%
Galway United 21%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Dundalk 38%
Galway United 27%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Dundalk 40%
Galway United 26%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Dundalk 42%
Galway United 25%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Dundalk 36%
Galway United 29%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Dundalk 46%
Galway United 30%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Dundalk angriper → ← angriper Galway United

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Dundalk have found the net in 93% of their last 27 matches.

Galway United have conceded at least one goal in 89% of their last 28 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.40 goals per match.

Dundalk remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Galway United suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Moderat
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

45 Poeng siste 5 32
1.50 Forventede mål (xG) 1.63
1.38 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Shamrock Rovers24145538:2147
2Bohemians24117638:2740
3St. Patricks22115635:1938
4Dundalk2298536:3235
5Shelbourne23710633:3431
6Derry City24611730:2729
7Galway United2166929:3424
8Drogheda22571027:3822
9Sligo Rovers22551217:3520
10Waterford22381128:4417