Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dunfermline vs Dumbarton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

League Cup East End Park, Dunfermline
Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

26' Event
Tod A.
Assist: Rudden Z.
38' Event
Shaw O.
Assist: Fraser R.
46'
Bytte
Campbell C. Inn: Robson T.
Ut: Campbell C.

Kampsammendrag

First leg ended 4-1. This leg finished 4-1.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

27%
Dunfermline
33%
Uavgjort
40%
Dumbarton
Uavgjort-prognose: 33% Favoritt: Dumbarton

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

70% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Dumbarton haven't matched Dunfermline's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Dumbarton a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Dunfermline have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Dunfermline, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • History favors Dunfermline here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 70.2%
Dunfermline Rent bur 17%
Dumbarton Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Dunfermline Dumbarton
Kamper Spilt 29 28
Seire 13 9
Uavgjort 7 4
Tap 9 15
Mål Scoret 1.31 1.32
Mål Sluppet Inn 1 2.29
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.63 1.38
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

14. juli 2026 League Cup
Dunfermline vs Dumbarton
4:1
19. juli 2025 League Cup
Dumbarton vs Dunfermline
0:4
17. juli 2021 League Cup
Dunfermline vs Dumbarton
5:1
6. okt. 2020 League Cup
Dumbarton vs Dunfermline
0:1
2. juli 2019 Club Friendly
Dumbarton vs Dunfermline
0:0

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Dunfermline Sammenlign

Toppscorer Tod A.
2 Mål
Assister Shaw O.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.25
Snitt xA / kamp 0.81

Dumbarton Sammenlign

Toppscorer Kirkpatrick K.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 1.25
Snitt xA / kamp 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Dunfermline 28 / 100
Dumbarton 38 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Dunfermline Dumbarton

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Dumbarton Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:4
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Dumbarton has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Dunfermline scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Dunfermline stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Måltrender

Dunfermline VS Dumbarton
0.88 Mål scoret 1.63
1.13 Mål sluppet inn 2.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Dunfermline

(Home)
03 Oct
Dunfermline
1 : 4
Aberdeen
19 Sept
Morton
0 : 1
Dunfermline
12 Sept
Dunfermline
2 : 0
Queen's Park
05 Sept
Arbroath
1 : 1
Dunfermline
28 Aug
Dunfermline
1 : 0
Raith
Page 1 of 6

Dumbarton

(Away)
03 Oct
Dumbarton
2 : 1
Forfar Athletic
26 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 2
Banks O' Dee
22 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 2
Kilmarnock B
19 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 0
Spartans
12 Sept
Stranraer
3 : 1
Dumbarton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aberdeen 4 4 0 0 11:2 12
2 Queen's Park 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
3 Kelty Hearts 4 2 0 2 4:8 5
4 Queen of the South 4 1 0 3 6:8 4
5 Brora Rangers 4 0 0 4 3:11 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dundee Utd 4 3 0 1 8:1 9
2 Montrose 4 3 0 1 5:2 9
3 Arbroath 4 2 0 2 3:6 6
4 Stirling 4 1 0 3 3:5 3
5 Spartans 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Mirren 4 3 0 1 12:4 9
2 Dunfermline 4 3 0 1 10:4 9
3 East Kilbride 4 2 0 2 13:10 6
4 Dumbarton 4 1 0 3 6:13 3
5 Cove Rangers 4 1 0 3 3:13 3
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ross County 4 4 0 0 11:3 11
2 Dundee FC 4 3 0 1 14:3 10
3 Clyde 4 2 0 2 6:8 6
4 Airdrieonians 4 1 0 3 5:8 3
5 Annan 4 0 0 4 2:16 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 4 4 0 0 6:3 10
2 Partick 4 3 0 1 13:3 9
3 Livingston 4 2 0 2 11:1 8
4 Forfar Athletic 4 1 0 3 3:15 3
5 Brechin 4 0 0 4 2:13 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inverness 4 4 0 0 5:1 11
2 East Fife 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
3 St Johnstone 4 2 0 2 6:2 7
4 Linlithgow Rose 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
5 Morton 4 0 0 4 0:7 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ayr 4 4 0 0 10:3 12
2 Falkirk 4 2 0 2 9:2 7
3 Edinburgh City 4 2 0 2 4:7 6
4 Alloa 4 2 0 2 4:9 4
5 Stranraer 4 0 0 4 4:10 1
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilmarnock 4 3 0 1 2:0 9
2 Hamilton 4 3 0 1 7:2 8
3 Raith 4 2 0 2 5:2 8
4 Peterhead 4 2 0 2 3:3 5
5 Elgin City 4 0 0 4 2:12 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams