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Stadium Background

Eastern AA vs Sham Shui Po - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hong Kong Hong Kong

FA Cup 2023/2024 Mong Kok Stadium, Hongkong
lør. 1. juni 2024
3 - 2
07:30 a.m.
Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

37'
Ma H. W.
38'
Wong C. T.
46'
Bytte
Chang Kwong-Yin Inn: Dunga I.
Ut: Chang Kwong-Yin

Kampsammendrag

Eastern AA in this FA Cup 2023/2024 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

80%
Eastern AA
11%
Uavgjort
9%
Sham Shui Po
Uavgjort-prognose: 11% Favoritt: Eastern AA

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

93% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Eastern AA have won more games recently than Sham Shui Po.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Eastern AA taking it.
  • Eastern AA have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Eastern AA, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • History favors Eastern AA here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 12.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 6%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 34%
Eastern AA Rent bur 68%
Sham Shui Po Rent bur 12%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Eastern AA Sham Shui Po
Kamper Spilt 38 30
Seire 17 8
Uavgjort 5 4
Tap 16 18
Mål Scoret 1.97 1.33
Mål Sluppet Inn 2.08 2.47
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.17 1.25
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

1. juni 2024 FA Cup
Eastern AA vs Sham Shui Po
3:2
28. apr. 2024 Premier League
Sham Shui Po vs Eastern AA
0:3
23. mars 2024 Sapling Cup
Sham Shui Po vs Eastern AA
0:5
6. jan. 2024 Sapling Cup
Eastern AA vs Sham Shui Po
3:0
7. okt. 2023 Premier League
Eastern AA vs Sham Shui Po
2:1

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Eastern AA Sammenlign

Toppscorer Baffoe N.
2 Mål
Assister Kozubayev T.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 0.9
Snitt xA / kamp 0.58

Sham Shui Po Sammenlign

Toppscorer Benavides N.
1 Mål
Assister Dunga I.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.14
Snitt xA / kamp 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Eastern AA 86 / 100
Sham Shui Po 11 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Eastern AA Sham Shui Po

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Eastern AA Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Eastern AA's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

Sham Shui Po let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Eastern AA went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Måltrender

Eastern AA VS -
1.13 Mål scoret 0
1.5 Mål sluppet inn 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Eastern AA

(Home)
26 Sept
Eastern AA
3 : 1
Kitchee
20 Sept
Hong Kong Rangers
1 : 0
Eastern AA
05 Sept
Eastern AA
4 : 0
Kowloon City
30 Aug
Tai Po
4 : 1
Eastern AA
21 Aug
Eastern AA
1 : 3
Shatin
Page 1 of 8

Sham Shui Po

(Away)
01 Jun
Eastern AA
3 : 2
Sham Shui Po
26 May
Hong Kong FC
0 : 0
Sham Shui Po
19 May
Sham Shui Po
1 : 6
Lee Man Warriors
11 May
Lee Man Warriors
1 : 2
Sham Shui Po
05 May
Resources Capital
0 : 0
Sham Shui Po
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Kitchee -
TBD -
TBD -
Hong Kong FC -
Eastern AA -
TBD -
Tai Po 0
Resources Capital 1
Hong Kong Rangers -
TBD -
North District 1
Lee Man Warriors 4
Southern District -
TBD -
Sham Shui Po 1
HK U23 0
Quarter-finals
Kitchee 2
Hong Kong FC 0
Eastern AA 1
Resources Capital 0
Hong Kong Rangers 3
Lee Man Warriors 4
Southern District 1
Sham Shui Po 2
Semi-finals
Kitchee 1
Eastern AA 2
Lee Man Warriors 1
Sham Shui Po 2
Final
Eastern AA 3
Sham Shui Po 2