Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ebbsfleet vs Dover Ath.

England England

National League South 2025/2026 Stonebridge Road Stadium, Northfleet
Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

15' Event
Nelson R.
51' Event
Chapman B.
69' Event
Seaman C.

Kampsammendrag

The National League South 2025/2026 game between Ebbsfleet and Dover Ath. finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ebbsfleet.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

42%
Ebbsfleet
20%
Uavgjort
38%
Dover Ath.
Uavgjort-prognose: 20% Favoritt: Ebbsfleet

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

67% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Ebbsfleet come out ahead of Dover Ath. on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Ebbsfleet taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ebbsfleet have taken 5 of them.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 75.4%
Ebbsfleet Rent bur 17%
Dover Ath. Rent bur 12%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Ebbsfleet Dover Ath.
Kamper Spilt 29 28
Seire 11 8
Uavgjort 8 6
Tap 10 14
Mål Scoret 1.25 1
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.75 1.13
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.25 1.00
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.75 1.13

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

6. apr. 2026 National League South
Ebbsfleet vs Dover Ath.
4:0
30. des. 2025 National League South
Dover Ath. vs Ebbsfleet
1:2
14. jan. 2023 National League South
Dover Ath. vs Ebbsfleet
1:2
17. sep. 2022 FA Cup
Ebbsfleet vs Dover Ath.
2:0
29. aug. 2022 National League South
Ebbsfleet vs Dover Ath.
3:0

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Ebbsfleet Sammenlign

Toppscorer Nelson R.
1 Mål
Assister Chapman B.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 0.96
Snitt xA / kamp 0.63

Dover Ath. Sammenlign

Snitt xG / kamp 0.91
Snitt xA / kamp 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Ebbsfleet 41 / 100
Dover Ath. 37 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Ebbsfleet Dover Ath.

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Ebbsfleet scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Dover Ath.'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Ebbsfleet remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Måltrender

Ebbsfleet VS Dover Ath.
1.25 Mål scoret 1
1.75 Mål sluppet inn 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ebbsfleet

(Home)
31 Jul
Ebbsfleet
1 : 2
Gillingham
28 Jul
Cray Valley
2 : 3
Ebbsfleet
24 Jul
Ebbsfleet
1 : 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University
21 Jul
Ebbsfleet
1 : 2
West Ham U21
14 Jul
Aveley
1 : 4
Ebbsfleet
Page 1 of 6

Dover Ath.

(Away)
01 Aug
Dover Ath.
1 : 1
Carshalton
28 Jul
Dover Ath.
2 : 2
Herne Bay
25 Jul
Dover Ath.
1 : 0
Burgess Hill
21 Jul
Dover Ath.
2 : 1
Deal Town
14 Jul
Dover Ath.
0 : 3
Gillingham
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Worthing FC 46 25 9 12 99:52 84
2 Hornchurch 46 23 12 11 81:64 81
3 Torquay 46 24 8 14 87:62 80
4 Dorking Wanderers 46 23 10 13 78:61 79
5 Hemel Hempstead 46 23 10 13 55:48 79
6 Weston-super-Mare 46 23 9 14 61:48 78
7 Maidenhead 46 22 11 13 66:41 77
8 Maidstone 46 22 11 13 72:50 77
9 Ebbsfleet 46 22 11 13 73:54 77
10 Chelmsford 46 21 10 15 73:62 73
11 Chesham 46 21 9 16 68:55 72
12 AFC Totton 46 20 6 20 60:79 66
13 Dagenham & Red. 46 17 13 16 61:62 64
14 Tonbridge 46 16 12 18 66:65 60
15 Horsham FC 46 15 14 17 53:54 59
16 Slough Town 46 15 9 22 69:87 54
17 Salisbury 46 14 11 21 50:65 53
18 Hampton & Richmond 46 14 11 21 56:72 53
19 Farnborough 46 14 11 21 72:92 53
20 Dover Ath. 46 13 11 22 60:75 50
21 Bath City 46 10 13 23 50:77 43
22 Chippenham Town 46 11 9 26 53:80 42
23 Enfield Town 46 9 13 24 55:82 40
24 Eastbourne Borough 46 9 9 28 59:90 36
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)