Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Egypt U20 vs Tanzania U20

World World

Friendly International 2024
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

This Friendly International 2024 encounter between Egypt U20 and Tanzania U20 promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Egypt U20 averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded in recent matches. Tanzania U20 shows a form average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Egypt U20, 0 wins for Tanzania U20, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 09.05.25 ended in a 0:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.00 for Egypt U20 and 0.94 for Tanzania U20, suggesting the primary value lies in the Egypt U20 double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

42%
Egypt U20
28%
Uavgjort
30%
Tanzania U20
Uavgjort-prognose: 28% Favoritt: Egypt U20

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

74% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Egypt U20 har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Tanzania U20.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.00 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
  • Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 65%
Over 2.5 Mål 50%
Over 3.5 Mål 30%
Over 4.5 Mål 15%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 45%
Egypt U20 Rent bur 24%
Tanzania U20 Rent bur 15%
Mål 1. omgang 59%
Mål 2. omgang 62%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Egypt U20 Tanzania U20
Kamper Spilt 29 30
Seire 10 10
Uavgjort 9 6
Tap 10 14
Mål Scoret 1.21 1.4
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.21 1.43
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

09.05.25 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Tanzania U20 vs Egypt U20
0:1
09.11.24 Friendly International
Egypt U20 vs Tanzania U20
3:0
06.11.24 Friendly International
Egypt U20 vs Tanzania U20
0:0

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Egypt U20

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Spill gjennom midten
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Tanzania U20

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Egypt U20 43 / 100
Tanzania U20 30 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Egypt U20 Tanzania U20

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Double Chance: Egypt U20 or Draw (1X)
Sekundærtips Under 3.5 Goals
Halvtidstips Home Win (HT)
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.5%
2.27
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Egypt U20 46%
Tanzania U20 24%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Egypt U20 40%
Tanzania U20 32%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Egypt U20 42%
Tanzania U20 30%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Egypt U20 44%
Tanzania U20 29%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Egypt U20 38%
Tanzania U20 33%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Egypt U20 48%
Tanzania U20 35%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Egypt U20 angriper → ← angriper Tanzania U20

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Egypt U20 have found the net in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Tanzania U20 have conceded at least one goal in 70% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 1.33 goals per match.

Egypt U20 remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Tanzania U20 suffered defeat in 5 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Moderat
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Friendly match context where both Egypt U20 and Tanzania U20 will focus on tactical prep rather than league table pressure.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

39 Poeng siste 5 36
1.00 Forventede mål (xG) 0.00
0.88 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 1.00