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Egypt vs Malawi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations
Egypt Logo

Egypt

ons. 11. nov. 2026
VS
05:00 p.m.
Malawi Logo

Malawi

Vårt Tips
Sammendrag Seier Mål Form H2H Taktikk Spillere Indekser Tips Kampforløp Presisjon Sammenlign

Kampsammendrag

The first leg ended 0-4. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Egypt have averaged 1.52 scored and 0.7 conceded recently, against Malawi's 0.9 scored and 1.13 conceded. Head-to-head, Egypt have won 4 to Malawi's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on 28. mars 2023, ending 0:4. xG projections (1.29 - 0.71) back Egypt to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

90%
Egypt
6%
Uavgjort
4%
Malawi
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Egypt

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

95% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Malawi haven't matched Egypt's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Egypt a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Egypt have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Egypt, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • History favors Egypt here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 21%
Over 4.5 Mål 9%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 65.4%
Egypt Rent bur 20%
Malawi Rent bur 11%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Egypt Malawi
Kamper Spilt 40 30
Seire 22 9
Uavgjort 11 5
Tap 7 16
Mål Scoret 1.52 0.9
Mål Sluppet Inn 0.7 1.13
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.29 0.71
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

28. mars 2023 Africa Cup of Nations
Malawi vs Egypt
0:4
24. mars 2023 Africa Cup of Nations
Egypt vs Malawi
2:0
8. juni 2015 Friendly International
Egypt vs Malawi
2:1
29. des. 2009 Friendly International
Egypt vs Malawi
1:1
22. juni 2008 World Championship
Egypt vs Malawi
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Egypt 85 / 100
Malawi 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Egypt Malawi

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Egypt Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Attacking prowess: Egypt scored in 78% of their last 40 outings.

Malawi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Egypt remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Måltrender

Egypt VS Malawi
1.25 Mål scoret 0.67
0.75 Mål sluppet inn 1.33
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 33%
25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Egypt

(Home)
04 Oct
Egypt
0 : 1
South Africa
29 Sept
South Sudan
0 : 5
Egypt
25 Sept
Egypt
0 : 0
Angola
07 Jul
Argentina
3 : 2
Egypt
03 Jul
Australia
1 : 2
Egypt
Page 1 of 8

Malawi

(Away)
06 Oct
Angola
3 : 1
Malawi
25 Sept
Malawi
2 : 1
South Sudan
09 Jun
Ethiopia
1 : 1
Malawi
06 Jun
Ethiopia
1 : 0
Malawi
31 Mar
Botswana
1 : 0
Malawi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Gabon 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Niger 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
4 Lesotho 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt 2 1 1 0 5:0 4
2 Angola 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Malawi 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
4 South Sudan 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Gambia 2 2 0 0 6:3 6
3 Somalia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
4 Ghana 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Guinea 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Eritrea 2 0 1 1 1:6 1
4 Kenya 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D.R. Congo 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Zimbabwe 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
3 Equatorial Guinea 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Sierra Leone 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benin 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Burkina Faso 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 Mauritania 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
4 Central Africa 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
2 Comoros 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Namibia 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
4 Congo 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Botswana 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
3 Tunisia 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
4 Libya 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 2 1 1 0 5:3 4
2 Zambia 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Togo 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Burundi 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Mozambique 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
3 Sudan 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
4 Ethiopia 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rwanda 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Mali 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
3 Cape Verde 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
4 Liberia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guinea Bissau 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
2 Nigeria 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
3 Tanzania 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
4 Madagascar 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)