Sport Picks
Kampsammendrag
Elva in this Estonian Cup 2021/2022 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
4%
6%
90%
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Helm
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
95%
/ Svært Høy Sikkerhet
- Form's been kind to Elva lately — more wins on the board than Helm.
- Win probability leans Helm's way, sitting at 90%.
- Elva have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Elva, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 85%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 99%
Over 1.5 Mål 94%
Over 2.5 Mål 85%
Over 3.5 Mål 75%
Over 4.5 Mål 34%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 72.6%
Elva Rent bur 10%
Helm Rent bur 10%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Elva | Helm |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 30 | 15 |
| Seire | 16 | 7 |
| Uavgjort | 5 | 0 |
| Tap | 9 | 8 |
| Mål Scoret | 2 | 4.07 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.27 | 4.27 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.75 | 4.00 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
28. aug. 2024 Estonian Cup
Helm vs Elva
1:5
11. juli 2021 Estonian Cup
Elva vs Helm
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Elva 10 / 100
Helm 83 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Elva Helm
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Helm Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.
Elva's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Helm's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 15 matches.
Solid form: Elva remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Måltrender
Elva VS Helm
2 Mål scoret 16
1.5 Mål sluppet inn 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
Elva
(Home) 24 Aug
Elva
0 : 0 Flora Tallinn U21
20 Aug
Elva
1 : 0 Maardu Linnameeskond
15 Aug
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 0 Elva
12 Aug
Elva
: Raasiku Joker
08 Aug
Elva
2 : 1 Tartu JK Welco
Page 1 of 6
24 Aug
Elva
0 : 0 Flora Tallinn U21
20 Aug
Elva
1 : 0 Maardu Linnameeskond
12 Aug
Elva
: Raasiku Joker
08 Aug
Elva
2 : 1 Tartu JK Welco
22 Jun
Elva
0 : 3 Flora Tallinn U21
Page 1 of 3
Helm
(Away) 23 Jul
JK Poseidon
3 : 2 Helm
18 Jun
Helm
30 : 0 Deliirium
20 Aug
Flora
14 : 0 Helm
01 Aug
Kohvile
0 : 4 Helm
28 Aug
Helm
1 : 5 Elva
Page 1 of 3
23 Jul
JK Poseidon
3 : 2 Helm
20 Aug
Flora
14 : 0 Helm
01 Aug
Kohvile
0 : 4 Helm
07 Aug
Loo JK
2 : 4 Helm
05 Jul
Marjamaa Kompanii
0 : 7 Helm
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Viimsi Lovid 0
Flora U19 3
Rumori Calcio II 1
FCP Parnu 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora -
Zenit Tallinn 4
Tallinna Kalev U21 2
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond III -
Valga Warrior -
FCT Titans -
Kristiine 5
Jogeva Wolves 3
Kose 0
Maksatransport 2
Raplamaa 15
Wolfram 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Levadia -
Kadakas 3
TransferWise 4
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev -
Tabasalu II -
TBD -
Jarva-Jaani 5
Kusti 4
Rumori Calcio -
TBD -
TBD -
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
Legion -
TBD -
TBD -
Soccernet -
Elva 3
Helm 0
Tallinna Wolves 1
JK Jalgpallihaigla 5
Viimsi JK 3
Parnu JK Vaprus 1
TBD -
ReUnited -
Loo JK 4
FC Alliance U21 2
TBD -
FC Tallinn -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
FCI Tallinn 8
FC Hell Hunt 0
TBD -
Parnu Sadam -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
TBD -
TBD -
Karskem Karsklus -
Narva -
HF Beer -
FC Alliance 10
Tartu JK Welco 2 1
Maardu Aliens -
TBD -
TBD -
Eston Villa -
Helios -
TBD -
Rakvere 3
Puhkus Mehhikos 1
Kohvile 7
Young FC 4
TBD -
Tartu JK Welco -
Saku Sporting -
TBD -
TBD -
Tammeka Tartu -
JK Poseidon -
TBD -
TBD -
Kuressaare -
Tartu Kalev -
TBD -
Laanemaa Haapsalu II 11
Aksi Wolves 1
Nomme Utd -
Jogeva -
Marjamaa Kompanii 4
Imavere Forss 5
Tulevik 26
Lelle 0
Olympic Tallinn 2
Hiiumaa 1
Tulevik U21 -
Tallinn Piraaja -
TBD -
Ganvix Turi -
Tallinna FC Zapoos -
TBD -
TBD -
Johvi Phoenix -
Kalju -
TBD -
Mulgi 3
JK 32. keskkool 1
EstHam United -
TBD -
Eston Villa II -
FC Ararat -
Vastseliina Tannem 4
Teleios 0
TBD -
Pohja-Tallinna -
Parnu -
TBD -
Legion U21 5
Annelinna Ajax 2
Tabasalu -
TBD -
TBD -
Arukula Vigri -
1/32-finals
Flora U19 12
FCP Parnu 0
TBD -
Flora -
Zenit Tallinn 1
Paide Linnameeskond III 4
Valga Warrior 1
Kristiine 4
Maksatransport 1
Raplamaa 3
TBD -
Levadia -
TransferWise 2
Tallinna Kalev 9
Tabasalu II 6
Jarva-Jaani 0
Rumori Calcio 0
Laanemaa Haapsalu 7
Legion 21
Soccernet 0
Elva 13
JK Jalgpallihaigla 1
Viimsi JK -
ReUnited -
Loo JK 2
FC Tallinn 3
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
FCI Tallinn 8
Parnu Sadam 1
Flora Tallinn U21 24
Karskem Karsklus 0
Narva 5
FC Alliance 0
Maardu Aliens 2
Eston Villa 3
Helios 3
Rakvere 1
Kohvile 1
Tartu JK Welco 2
Saku Sporting 0
Tammeka Tartu 9
JK Poseidon 0
Kuressaare 9
Tartu Kalev 10
Laanemaa Haapsalu II 0
Nomme Utd -
Imavere Forss -
Tulevik -
Olympic Tallinn -
Tulevik U21 4
Ganvix Turi 0
Tallinna FC Zapoos 2
Johvi Phoenix 0
Kalju 32
Mulgi 0
EstHam United 0
FC Ararat 6
Vastseliina Tannem -
Pohja-Tallinna -
Parnu 2
Legion U21 0
Tabasalu 11
Arukula Vigri 1
1/16-finals
Flora U19 0
Flora 14
Paide Linnameeskond III 5
Kristiine 0
Raplamaa 0
Levadia 5
Tallinna Kalev 3
Tabasalu II 0
Laanemaa Haapsalu 2
Legion 8
Elva 2
Viimsi JK 0
FC Tallinn 1
Paide Linnameeskond 4
FCI Tallinn 2
Flora Tallinn U21 3
Narva 3
Eston Villa 0
Helios 0
Tartu JK Welco 3
Tammeka Tartu 3
Kuressaare 1
Tartu Kalev 4
Nomme Utd 2
Tulevik 10
Tulevik U21 0
Tallinna FC Zapoos 1
Kalju 9
FC Ararat 2
Vastseliina Tannem 3
Parnu 0
Tabasalu 1
1/8-finals
Flora -
Paide Linnameeskond III -
Levadia 3
Tallinna Kalev 0
Legion -
Elva -
Paide Linnameeskond 14
Flora Tallinn U21 0
Narva 3
Tartu JK Welco 0
Tammeka Tartu 3
Tartu Kalev 0
Tulevik 1
Kalju 3
Vastseliina Tannem -
Tabasalu -
Quarter-finals
Flora 2
Levadia 0
Legion 0
Paide Linnameeskond 2
Narva 2
Tammeka Tartu 0
Kalju 7
Tabasalu 0
Semi-finals
Flora 0
Paide Linnameeskond 1
Narva 0
Kalju 1
Final
Paide Linnameeskond 1
Kalju 0
