Sport Picks
Kampsammendrag
A one-off knockout match in the African Nations Championship. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Eritrea have averaged 0 scored and 0.13 conceded recently, against Ethiopia's 1.25 scored and 0.88 conceded. Head-to-head, Eritrea have won 0 to Ethiopia's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on 3. nov. 2024, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.04 xG vs 0.69) point toward Ethiopia. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Look at the last few games and Ethiopia come out ahead of Eritrea on wins alone.
- Model gives Eritrea a 42% chance of winning this.
- Ethiopia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Ethiopia, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
- History favors Ethiopia here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Eritrea | Ethiopia |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 16 | 29 |
| Seire | 5 | 11 |
| Uavgjort | 2 | 5 |
| Tap | 9 | 13 |
| Mål Scoret | 0 | 1.25 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 0.13 | 0.88 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 0.13 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Ethiopia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.25 goals.
Eritrea has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Eritrea's goal record stands at 44% scoring rate across 16 recent games.
