Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Esteli vs Alianza FC

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Central American Cup Estadio Independencia, Estelí
ons. 12. aug. 2026
VS
02:00 a.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

A one-off knockout match in the CONCACAF Central American Cup. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Esteli have averaged 1.5 scored and 0.63 conceded recently, against Alianza FC's 1.25 scored and 1 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.25 - 0.94) back Esteli to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

50%
Esteli
28%
Uavgjort
22%
Alianza FC
Uavgjort-prognose: 28% Favoritt: Esteli

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

76% / Høy Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Esteli come out ahead of Alianza FC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Esteli a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Esteli have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 25%
Over 4.5 Mål 11%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 72.6%
Esteli Rent bur 20%
Alianza FC Rent bur 11%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Esteli Alianza FC
Kamper Spilt 28 31
Seire 17 16
Uavgjort 7 6
Tap 4 9
Mål Scoret 1.5 1.25
Mål Sluppet Inn 0.63 1
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.50 1.25
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Esteli 49 / 100
Alianza FC 22 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Esteli Alianza FC

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips EST Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Esteli scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Esteli has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Alianza FC let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Difficult form: Alianza FC registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Måltrender

Esteli VS Alianza FC
1.5 Mål scoret 1.25
0.63 Mål sluppet inn 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Esteli

(Home)
26 Jul
Esteli
2 : 0
Matagalpa
18 Jul
Esteli
1 : 1
UNAN-Managua
11 Jul
Esteli
2 : 0
Xilotepelt
04 Jul
Xilotepelt
0 : 1
Esteli
17 May
Diriangen
1 : 2
Esteli
Page 1 of 6

Alianza FC

(Away)
26 Jul
Inca Aruba
1 : 3
Alianza FC
10 May
Alianza FC
0 : 2
Aguila
06 May
Aguila
2 : 1
Alianza FC
01 May
Fuerte San Francisco
0 : 1
Alianza FC
26 Apr
Alianza FC
4 : 2
Zacatecoluca FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Diriangen11004:23
2Xelaju00000:00
3Alajuelense00000:00
4Luis Angel Firpo00000:00
5Plaza Amador10012:40
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Herediano00000:00
2Marathon00000:00
3Alianza FC00000:00
4Esteli00000:00
5Antigua00000:00
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia11002:03
2Saprissa00000:00
3Alianza00000:00
4UMECIT00000:00
5Deportivo Mixco10010:20
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Motagua11005:03
2Municipal00000:00
3Cartagines00000:00
4FAS00000:00
5Verdes10010:50
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)