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Esteli vs Herediano

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Central American Cup Estadio Independencia, Estelí
ons. 19. aug. 2026
VS
03:00 a.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

The first leg ended 2-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Esteli have averaged 1.93 scored and 0.79 conceded recently, against Herediano's 1.04 scored and 0.71 conceded. Head-to-head, Esteli have won 1 to Herediano's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on 1. nov. 2024, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 0.69) point toward Esteli. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

90%
Esteli
6%
Uavgjort
4%
Herediano
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Esteli

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

95% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Herediano haven't matched Esteli's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Esteli a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Esteli have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 6.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 3%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 66.6%
Esteli Rent bur 20%
Herediano Rent bur 11%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Esteli Herediano
Kamper Spilt 28 28
Seire 18 15
Uavgjort 7 5
Tap 3 8
Mål Scoret 1.93 1.04
Mål Sluppet Inn 0.79 0.71
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.25 0.69
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

1. nov. 2024 CONCACAF Central American Cup
Herediano vs Esteli
2:2
25. okt. 2024 CONCACAF Central American Cup
Esteli vs Herediano
0:0
25. nov. 2020 CONCACAF League
Herediano vs Esteli
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Esteli 85 / 100
Herediano 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Esteli Herediano

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Esteli Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Esteli scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Recent resilience: Esteli stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Herediano conceded in 46% of 28 recent games.

Måltrender

Esteli VS Herediano
1.88 Mål scoret 1
0.38 Mål sluppet inn 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Esteli

(Home)
12 Aug
Esteli
3 : 1
Alianza FC
08 Aug
Esteli
4 : 1
Walter Ferreti
05 Aug
Antigua
0 : 2
Esteli
30 Jul
Jalapa
0 : 1
Esteli
26 Jul
Esteli
2 : 0
Matagalpa
Page 1 of 6

Herediano

(Away)
10 Aug
Herediano
0 : 3
Alajuelense
06 Aug
Alianza FC
1 : 0
Herediano
03 Aug
Inter San Carlos
1 : 1
Herediano
31 Jul
Herediano
0 : 0
Marathon
24 Jul
Herediano
3 : 0
Puntarenas FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alajuelense 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Plaza Amador 3 2 0 1 9:7 6
3 Diriangen 2 1 0 1 5:5 3
4 Luis Angel Firpo 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
5 Xelaju 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Esteli 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 Alianza FC 3 2 0 1 4:4 6
3 Marathon 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
4 Herediano 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
5 Antigua 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saprissa 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
2 Olimpia 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
3 Alianza 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
4 UMECIT 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
5 Deportivo Mixco 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Motagua 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
2 Municipal 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 FAS 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
4 Cartagines 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
5 Verdes 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)