Sport Picks
Estonia vs Luxembourg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Europe
UEFA Nations League A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn 
Kamphendelser
5'
5'
Peetson R.
29'
29'
Mahmutovic E.
44'
44'
Henn J.
Kampsammendrag
Estonia in this UEFA Nations League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Estonia.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
90%
6%
4%
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Estonia
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
95%
/ Svært Høy Sikkerhet
- Form's been kind to Estonia lately — more wins on the board than Luxembourg.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Estonia taking it.
- European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.
- These two have met 4 times recently and Estonia have taken 3 of them.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 85%
Over 1.5 Mål 69%
Over 2.5 Mål 25%
Over 3.5 Mål 12.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 6%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 26.4%
Estonia Rent bur 68%
Luxembourg Rent bur 12%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Estonia | Luxembourg |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 30 | 30 |
| Seire | 9 | 8 |
| Uavgjort | 6 | 4 |
| Tap | 15 | 18 |
| Mål Scoret | 1 | 0.7 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.19 | 1.19 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
3. okt. 2026 UEFA Nations League
Estonia vs Luxembourg
1:0
12. okt. 2005 World Championship
Luxembourg vs Estonia
0:2
4. sep. 2004 World Championship
Estonia vs Luxembourg
4:0
25. apr. 2000 Friendly International
Luxembourg vs Estonia
1:1
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Estonia Sammenlign
Toppscorer Peetson R.
1 Mål Snitt xG / kamp 0.92
Snitt xA / kamp 0.59
Luxembourg Sammenlign
Snitt xG / kamp 1.08
Snitt xA / kamp 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Estonia 95 / 100
Luxembourg 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Estonia Luxembourg
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Estonia Win (1)
Sekundærtips Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Estonia went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Estonia found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Luxembourg conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.
Måltrender
Estonia VS Luxembourg
1.38 Mål scoret 1
1.38 Mål sluppet inn 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Estonia
(Home) 06 Oct
Estonia
0 : 0 Iceland
03 Oct
Estonia
1 : 0 Luxembourg
29 Sept
Bulgaria
0 : 0 Estonia
26 Sept
Iceland
1 : 1 Estonia
09 Jun
Estonia
1 : 0 Lithuania
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06 Oct
Estonia
0 : 0 Iceland
03 Oct
Estonia
1 : 0 Luxembourg
09 Jun
Estonia
1 : 0 Lithuania
06 Jun
Estonia
1 : 0 Faroe Islands
14 Oct
Estonia
1 : 1 Moldova
Page 1 of 3
Luxembourg
(Away) 06 Oct
Luxembourg
0 : 2 Bulgaria
03 Oct
Estonia
1 : 0 Luxembourg
29 Sept
Luxembourg
0 : 3 Iceland
26 Sept
Bulgaria
1 : 2 Luxembourg
06 Jun
Albania
0 : 1 Luxembourg
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Estonia
1 : 0 Luxembourg
26 Sept
Bulgaria
1 : 2 Luxembourg
06 Jun
Albania
0 : 1 Luxembourg
26 Mar
Malta
0 : 2 Luxembourg
17 Nov
Northern Ireland
1 : 0 Luxembourg
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Albania | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Belarus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 3 | Finland | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:2 | 7 |
| 4 | San Marino | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:16 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montenegro | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | 10 |
| 2 | Cyprus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Armenia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Latvia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | 1 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slovakia | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:2 | 10 |
| 2 | Faroe Islands | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5:5 | 4 |
| 3 | Moldova | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | 4 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | 2 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iceland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:1 | 8 |
| 2 | Estonia | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Bulgaria | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Luxembourg | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | 3 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)
