Sport Picks
Kampsammendrag
Estrela De Marco U20 enters this Baiano U20 fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 64%. Estrela De Marco U20 averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded in recent matches. Leonico U20 shows a form average of 0.8 goals scored and 2.3 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 4 wins for Estrela De Marco U20, 1 wins for Leonico U20, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 02.05.26 ended in a 2:3 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 2.25 for Estrela De Marco U20 and 0.81 for Leonico U20, suggesting the primary value lies in the Estrela De Marco U20 double chance or over markets.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Estrela De Marco U20 har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Leonico U20.
- Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (2.25 vs 0.81 xG).
- Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
- Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Estrela De Marco U20 | Leonico U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 32 | 30 |
| Seire | 16 | 6 |
| Uavgjort | 6 | 3 |
| Tap | 10 | 21 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.16 | 0.77 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1 | 2.33 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.38 | 0.63 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.00 | 3.13 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
Taktisk Profil
Posisjonering og Kontrollstil
Estrela De Marco U20
Leonico U20
Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne
Erventet Kampforløp
Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker
Estrela De Marco U20 is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
Leonico U20 will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Estrela De Marco U20's attacks.
Expect Estrela De Marco U20 to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Estrela De Marco U20 vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for Leonico U20, allowing Estrela De Marco U20's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from Estrela De Marco U20, while Leonico U20 takes risks to salvage a result.
Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd
Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Estrela De Marco U20 have found the net in 69% of their last 32 matches.
Leonico U20 have conceded at least one goal in 80% of their last 30 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 3.20 goals per match.
Estrela De Marco U20 remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Leonico U20 suffered defeat in 5 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Statistikk-sammenligning
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bahia U20 | 14 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 62:8 | 37 |
| 2 | Galicia U20 | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 24:14 | 28 |
| 3 | Camacariense U20 | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 37:21 | 27 |
| 4 | SSA U20 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 29:15 | 20 |
| 5 | Jacobina U20 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 18:18 | 20 |
| 6 | Juazeirense U20 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 16:25 | 18 |
| 7 | Feirense U20 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 11:35 | 9 |
| 8 | Camacari U20 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6:67 | 4 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitoria U20 | 14 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 49:14 | 37 |
| 2 | Fluminense de Feira U20 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 30:18 | 27 |
| 3 | Jacuipense U20 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 24:15 | 24 |
| 4 | Estrela De Marco U20 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18:16 | 22 |
| 5 | Alagoinhas U20 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 26:23 | 21 |
| 6 | Bahia de Feira U20 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 16:25 | 13 |
| 7 | Redencao U20 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 17:36 | 10 |
| 8 | Leonico U20 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9:42 | 5 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto-BA U20 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 31:17 | 33 |
| 2 | Conquista FC U20 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 23:7 | 31 |
| 3 | Vitoria da Conquista U20 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25:11 | 22 |
| 4 | Barcelona FC U20 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 16:16 | 18 |
| 5 | Grapiuna U20 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 18:16 | 17 |
| 6 | Serrano U20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 20:30 | 16 |
| 7 | Jequie U20 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 18:22 | 15 |
| 8 | Catuense U20 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 16:48 | 6 |