Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ethiopia vs D.R. Congo

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium, Dar es Salaam
Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

17'
Wolde B.
32'
Bytte
Akolo C. Inn: Bongonda T.
Ut: Akolo C.
46'
Bytte
Kakuta G. Inn: Kayembe E.
Ut: Kakuta G.

Kampsammendrag

This match ends 0-2, with D.R. Congo advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

60%
Ethiopia
22%
Uavgjort
18%
D.R. Congo
Uavgjort-prognose: 22% Favoritt: Ethiopia

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

82% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Ethiopia haven't matched D.R. Congo's recent run of results.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Ethiopia taking it.
  • D.R. Congo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor D.R. Congo, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.
  • History favors D.R. Congo here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 85%
Over 1.5 Mål 51.5%
Over 2.5 Mål 25%
Over 3.5 Mål 0%
Over 4.5 Mål 0%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Ethiopia Rent bur 68%
D.R. Congo Rent bur 18%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Ethiopia D.R. Congo
Kamper Spilt 29 31
Seire 11 19
Uavgjort 5 4
Tap 13 8
Mål Scoret 1.2 1.5
Mål Sluppet Inn 0.2 0.38
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.20 1.50
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 0.20 0.38

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

19. nov. 2024 Africa Cup of Nations
D.R. Congo vs Ethiopia
1:2
9. sep. 2024 Africa Cup of Nations
Ethiopia vs D.R. Congo
0:2
17. jan. 2016 African Nations Championship
D.R. Congo vs Ethiopia
3:0
18. jan. 1968 Africa Cup of Nations
Ethiopia vs D.R. Congo
2:3

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Ethiopia Sammenlign

Snitt xG / kamp 0.92
Snitt xA / kamp 0.6

D.R. Congo Sammenlign

Toppscorer Bongonda T.
1 Mål
Assister Mayele F.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.36
Snitt xA / kamp 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Ethiopia 68 / 100
D.R. Congo 20 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Ethiopia D.R. Congo

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips ETH Win (1)
Sekundærtips Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Ethiopia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

D.R. Congo's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Ethiopia found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Måltrender

Ethiopia VS D.R. Congo
1.2 Mål scoret 1.5
0.2 Mål sluppet inn 0.38
40% Over 1.5 63%
20% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ethiopia

(Home)
09 Jun
Ethiopia
1 : 1
Malawi
06 Jun
Ethiopia
1 : 0
Malawi
31 Mar
Ethiopia
1 : 0
Sao Tome and Principe
27 Mar
Sao Tome and Principe
0 : 3
Ethiopia
12 Oct
Burkina Faso
3 : 1
Ethiopia
Page 1 of 6

D.R. Congo

(Away)
01 Jul
England
2 : 1
D.R. Congo
27 Jun
D.R. Congo
3 : 1
Uzbekistan
24 Jun
Colombia
1 : 0
D.R. Congo
17 Jun
Portugal
1 : 1
D.R. Congo
09 Jun
D.R. Congo
1 : 2
Chile
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comoros 6 3 3 0 7:4 12
2 Tunisia 6 3 1 2 7:6 10
3 Gambia 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
4 Madagascar 6 0 2 4 4:8 2
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 6 6 0 0 26:2 18
2 Gabon 6 3 1 2 7:9 10
3 Lesotho 6 1 1 4 2:13 4
4 Central Africa 6 1 0 5 3:14 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt 6 4 2 0 12:2 14
2 Botswana 6 2 2 2 4:7 8
3 Mauritania 6 2 1 3 3:6 7
4 Cape Verde 6 1 1 4 3:7 4
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nigeria 6 3 2 1 9:3 11
2 Benin 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
3 Rwanda 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
4 Libya 6 1 2 3 3:7 5
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 6 5 1 0 16:2 16
2 Equatorial Guinea 6 2 2 2 5:8 8
3 Togo 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
4 Liberia 6 1 1 4 4:12 4
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Angola 6 4 2 0 7:2 14
2 Sudan 6 2 2 2 4:6 8
3 Niger 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
4 Ghana 6 0 3 3 3:7 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zambia 6 4 1 1 7:4 13
2 Ivory Coast 6 4 0 2 12:3 12
3 Sierra Leone 6 1 2 3 5:10 5
4 Chad 6 0 3 3 1:8 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D.R. Congo 6 4 0 2 7:3 12
2 Tanzania 6 3 1 2 5:4 10
3 Guinea 6 3 0 3 9:5 9
4 Ethiopia 6 1 1 4 3:12 4
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mali 6 4 2 0 10:1 14
2 Mozambique 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
3 Guinea Bissau 6 1 2 3 4:6 5
4 Eswatini 6 0 2 4 2:13 2
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon 6 4 2 0 8:2 14
2 Zimbabwe 6 2 3 1 6:4 9
3 Kenya 6 1 3 2 4:7 6
4 Namibia 6 0 2 4 2:7 2
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa 6 4 2 0 16:5 14
2 Uganda 6 4 1 1 8:5 13
3 Congo 6 1 1 4 4:12 4
4 South Sudan 6 1 0 5 6:12 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal 6 5 1 0 10:1 16
2 Burkina Faso 6 3 1 2 10:7 10
3 Burundi 6 1 1 4 4:11 4
4 Malawi 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)