Sport Picks
Kampsammendrag
The first leg ended 0-3. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Ethiopia at 1.14 goals for, 1.21 against; Eritrea at 0.88 for, 1.38 against. Past meetings favor Ethiopia slightly — 3-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 3. nov. 2024, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 0.69 vs 0.94, favoring Ethiopia. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Ethiopia have won more games recently than Eritrea.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Ethiopia taking it.
- Ethiopia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Ethiopia, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
- History favors Ethiopia here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Ethiopia | Eritrea |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 29 | 16 |
| Seire | 11 | 5 |
| Uavgjort | 5 | 2 |
| Tap | 13 | 9 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.14 | 0.88 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.21 | 1.38 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 0.69 | 0.94 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Eritrea let in goals in 69% of their last 16 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.
Ethiopia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Ethiopia's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
