Sport Picks
Etoile Sahel vs AS Marsa
Tunisia
Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 Stade Olympique de Sousse, Sousse 
Kamphendelser
30'
30'
45'
45'
'
'
Kampsammendrag
The Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 game between Etoile Sahel and AS Marsa finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Etoile Sahel.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
36%
44%
20%
Uavgjort-prognose: 44% Favoritt: Draw
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
71%
/ Middels Sikkerhet
- Look at the last few games and Etoile Sahel come out ahead of AS Marsa on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.
- Etoile Sahel have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 85%
Over 1.5 Mål 56.5%
Over 2.5 Mål 25%
Over 3.5 Mål 22%
Over 4.5 Mål 10%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 23.6%
Etoile Sahel Rent bur 19%
AS Marsa Rent bur 68%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Etoile Sahel | AS Marsa |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 31 | 30 |
| Seire | 13 | 11 |
| Uavgjort | 6 | 3 |
| Tap | 12 | 16 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.5 | 0.88 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.63 | 1.63 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.50 | 0.88 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.63 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
25. apr. 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Etoile Sahel vs AS Marsa
1:0
29. okt. 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
AS Marsa vs Etoile Sahel
0:2
12. juni 2016 Ligue Professionnelle 1
AS Marsa vs Etoile Sahel
0:3
6. jan. 2016 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Etoile Sahel vs AS Marsa
3:0
12. mai 2015 Ligue Professionnelle 1
AS Marsa vs Etoile Sahel
1:3
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Etoile Sahel Sammenlign
Toppscorer Chaabani M.
1 Mål Snitt xG / kamp 1.15
Snitt xA / kamp 0.75
AS Marsa Sammenlign
Snitt xG / kamp 0.8
Snitt xA / kamp 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Etoile Sahel 36 / 100
AS Marsa 32 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Etoile Sahel AS Marsa
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips MAR Win (2)
Sekundærtips Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Etoile Sahel's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
AS Marsa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Etoile Sahel stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Måltrender
Etoile Sahel VS AS Marsa
1.5 Mål scoret 0.88
1.63 Mål sluppet inn 1.63
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Etoile Sahel
(Home) 14 May
CS Sfaxien
3 : 1 Etoile Sahel
09 May
Etoile Sahel
1 : 0 CA Bizertin
04 May
Zarzis
3 : 1 Etoile Sahel
29 Apr
Metlaoui
2 : 0 Etoile Sahel
25 Apr
Etoile Sahel
1 : 0 AS Marsa
Page 1 of 7
09 May
Etoile Sahel
1 : 0 CA Bizertin
25 Apr
Etoile Sahel
1 : 0 AS Marsa
04 Apr
Etoile Sahel
0 : 0 Esperance Tunis
28 Feb
Etoile Sahel
1 : 0 Soliman
07 Feb
Etoile Sahel
1 : 0 Monastir
Page 1 of 3
AS Marsa
(Away) 12 May
Jeunesse Sportive
2 : 2 AS Marsa
09 May
AS Marsa
0 : 3 CS Sfaxien
04 May
CA Bizertin
1 : 2 AS Marsa
30 Apr
AS Marsa
1 : 0 Zarzis
25 Apr
Etoile Sahel
1 : 0 AS Marsa
Page 1 of 6
12 May
Jeunesse Sportive
2 : 2 AS Marsa
04 May
CA Bizertin
1 : 2 AS Marsa
25 Apr
Etoile Sahel
1 : 0 AS Marsa
19 Apr
Club Africain
3 : 3 AS Marsa
13 Apr
Metlaoui
1 : 0 AS Marsa
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Africain | 30 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 43:10 | 66 |
| 2 | Esperance Tunis | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 45:11 | 63 |
| 3 | CS Sfaxien | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 44:13 | 62 |
| 4 | Stade Tunisien | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 28:14 | 48 |
| 5 | Monastir | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 28:19 | 45 |
| 6 | Zarzis | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 30:28 | 41 |
| 7 | Etoile Sahel | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 28:30 | 41 |
| 8 | Metlaoui | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 19:25 | 40 |
| 9 | Jeunesse Sportive | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 24:33 | 36 |
| 10 | Ben Guerdane | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 18:22 | 35 |
| 11 | AS Marsa | 30 | 11 | 2 | 17 | 26:33 | 35 |
| 12 | CA Bizertin | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 18:29 | 33 |
| 13 | Olympique Beja | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 18:39 | 32 |
| 14 | JS Kairouan | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 20:41 | 31 |
| 15 | Soliman | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 15:31 | 27 |
| 16 | AS Gabes | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 11:37 | 18 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2026/2027 (Main)
