Sport Picks
Kampsammendrag
Excelsior Maassluis host Groene Ster in the Derde Divisie. Little to choose between these two on current form. Groene Ster have shipped 1.76 goals a game lately, while Excelsior Maassluis have conceded 1.66 and scored 1.48. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.50 - 1.13) back Excelsior Maassluis to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Form's been kind to Groene Ster lately — more wins on the board than Excelsior Maassluis.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Excelsior Maassluis | Groene Ster |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 29 | 33 |
| Seire | 11 | 12 |
| Uavgjort | 4 | 4 |
| Tap | 14 | 17 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.48 | 1.3 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.66 | 1.76 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.50 | 1.13 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Groene Ster has conceded goals in 85% of their last 33 outings.
Excelsior Maassluis found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
Recent resilience: Excelsior Maassluis stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Away concern: Groene Ster has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Måltrender
Recent Form & Match History
Excelsior Maassluis
(Home)Groene Ster
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excelsior 31 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Purmersteijn | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 3 | VV Hoogeveen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Harkemase Boys | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 5 | Genemuiden | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 6 | ACV Assen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 7 | Sparta Nijkerk | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 1 |
| 8 | Sportlust | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 1 |
| 9 | VV DOVO | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 10 | Staphorst | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 11 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | USV Hercules | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | SVZW Wierden | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | 0 |
| 14 | HVV Hollandia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 15 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 16 | TEC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 17 | VV Scherpenzeel | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 18 | Eemdijk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dongen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Lisse | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 3 | VV Noordwijk | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 4 | VVSB | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 5 | Gemert | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 6 | Rijnvogels | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 7 | Excelsior Maassluis | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 8 | RKSV UDI 19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 9 | Roosendaal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | EVV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | Groene Ster | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | UNA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | GOES | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | TOGB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 | SV Poortugaal | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 16 | Blauw Geel | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 17 | Achilles Veen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 18 | VV Zwaluwen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | 0 |