Sport Picks
Excelsior Maassluis vs Groene Ster - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Nederland
Derde Divisie 
Kampsammendrag
Excelsior Maassluis in this Derde Divisie matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Excelsior Maassluis.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
90%
6%
4%
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Excelsior Maassluis
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
95%
/ Svært Høy Sikkerhet
- Form's been kind to Excelsior Maassluis lately — more wins on the board than Groene Ster.
- Win probability leans Excelsior Maassluis's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 50.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 23%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 75.8%
Excelsior Maassluis Rent bur 20%
Groene Ster Rent bur 10%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Excelsior Maassluis | Groene Ster |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 29 | 28 |
| Seire | 14 | 7 |
| Uavgjort | 4 | 4 |
| Tap | 11 | 17 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.62 | 1.29 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.38 | 2.36 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 2.25 | 1.13 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
22. aug. 2026 Derde Divisie
Excelsior Maassluis vs Groene Ster
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Excelsior Maassluis 85 / 100
Groene Ster 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Excelsior Maassluis Groene Ster
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Excelsior Maassluis Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Groene Ster has conceded goals in 93% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Excelsior Maassluis stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Excelsior Maassluis found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
Måltrender
Excelsior Maassluis VS Groene Ster
2 Mål scoret 1.63
0.63 Mål sluppet inn 2.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Excelsior Maassluis
(Home) 03 Oct
VVSB
2 : 3 Excelsior Maassluis
26 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
1 : 0 Blauw Geel
22 Sept
Sportlust
0 : 2 Excelsior Maassluis
19 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
5 : 0 Roosendaal
12 Sept
Achilles Veen
2 : 3 Excelsior Maassluis
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
1 : 0 Blauw Geel
19 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
5 : 0 Roosendaal
05 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
0 : 0 VV Noordwijk
22 Aug
Excelsior Maassluis
3 : 1 Groene Ster
08 Aug
Excelsior Maassluis
4 : 2 Jong Sparta Rotterdam
Page 1 of 3
Groene Ster
(Away) 03 Oct
Rijnvogels
5 : 1 Groene Ster
27 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 2 Gemert
22 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 6 AFC
19 Sept
EVV
1 : 1 Groene Ster
12 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 0 VV Zwaluwen
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Rijnvogels
5 : 1 Groene Ster
19 Sept
EVV
1 : 1 Groene Ster
05 Sept
TOGB
3 : 3 Groene Ster
22 Aug
Excelsior Maassluis
3 : 1 Groene Ster
16 May
TOGB
5 : 1 Groene Ster
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excelsior 31 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22:6 | 19 |
| 2 | ACV Assen | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21:8 | 19 |
| 3 | VV Scherpenzeel | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Genemuiden | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19:9 | 18 |
| 5 | Harkemase Boys | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:11 | 17 |
| 6 | TEC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 27:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Sportlust | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:13 | 15 |
| 8 | Sparta Nijkerk | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 22:16 | 14 |
| 9 | Purmersteijn | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:11 | 14 |
| 10 | VV Hoogeveen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 22:17 | 13 |
| 11 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:18 | 10 |
| 12 | USV Hercules | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12:20 | 9 |
| 13 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10:15 | 5 |
| 14 | VV DOVO | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9:19 | 5 |
| 15 | Eemdijk | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9:26 | 3 |
| 16 | Staphorst | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 3 |
| 17 | HVV Hollandia | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13:23 | 1 |
| 18 | SVZW Wierden | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9:26 | 1 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rijnvogels | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 25:7 | 20 |
| 2 | VV Noordwijk | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:2 | 19 |
| 3 | Lisse | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14:6 | 19 |
| 4 | Excelsior Maassluis | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:7 | 17 |
| 5 | RKSV UDI 19 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 6 | GOES | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 7 | Dongen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 21:17 | 13 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | 13 |
| 9 | Gemert | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 10 | Blauw Geel | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 11 | Roosendaal | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13:16 | 9 |
| 12 | SV Poortugaal | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:13 | 9 |
| 13 | UNA | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 14 | TOGB | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:18 | 8 |
| 15 | VVSB | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:16 | 7 |
| 16 | Groene Ster | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12:20 | 6 |
| 17 | Achilles Veen | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:20 | 3 |
| 18 | EVV | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8:19 | 2 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
