Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Excelsior Maassluis vs Groene Ster

Nederland Nederland

Derde Divisie
lør. 22. aug. 2026
VS
12:30 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Excelsior Maassluis host Groene Ster in the Derde Divisie. Little to choose between these two on current form. Groene Ster have shipped 1.76 goals a game lately, while Excelsior Maassluis have conceded 1.66 and scored 1.48. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.50 - 1.13) back Excelsior Maassluis to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

30%
Excelsior Maassluis
39%
Uavgjort
31%
Groene Ster
Uavgjort-prognose: 39% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

65% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Form's been kind to Groene Ster lately — more wins on the board than Excelsior Maassluis.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 31.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 14%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 73%
Excelsior Maassluis Rent bur 20%
Groene Ster Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Excelsior Maassluis Groene Ster
Kamper Spilt 29 33
Seire 11 12
Uavgjort 4 4
Tap 14 17
Mål Scoret 1.48 1.3
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.66 1.76
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.50 1.13
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Excelsior Maassluis 31 / 100
Groene Ster 30 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Excelsior Maassluis Groene Ster

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Excelsior Maassluis Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Groene Ster has conceded goals in 85% of their last 33 outings.

Excelsior Maassluis found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Excelsior Maassluis stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Groene Ster has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Måltrender

Excelsior Maassluis VS Groene Ster
1.75 Mål scoret 1
1.25 Mål sluppet inn 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Excelsior Maassluis

(Home)
15 Aug
RKSV UDI 19
1 : 1
Excelsior Maassluis
08 Aug
Excelsior Maassluis
4 : 2
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
11 Jul
Excelsior Maassluis
3 : 0
TOGB
13 Jun
IJsselmeervogels
2 : 0
Excelsior Maassluis
10 Jun
Excelsior Maassluis
2 : 1
IJsselmeervogels
Page 1 of 6

Groene Ster

(Away)
01 Aug
Groene Ster
3 : 1
Belisia Bilzen
03 Jul
Groene Ster
0 : 1
Eupen
23 May
Groene Ster
3 : 1
ASWH
16 May
TOGB
5 : 1
Groene Ster
09 May
Groene Ster
1 : 2
VV Kloetinge
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excelsior 31 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 Purmersteijn 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
3 VV Hoogeveen 1 1 0 0 4:3 3
4 Harkemase Boys 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
5 Genemuiden 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
6 ACV Assen 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 Sparta Nijkerk 1 0 1 0 3:3 1
8 Sportlust 1 0 1 0 3:3 1
9 VV DOVO 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
10 Staphorst 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 USV Hercules 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 SVZW Wierden 1 0 0 1 3:4 0
14 HVV Hollandia 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
15 DVS '33 Ermelo 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
16 TEC 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
17 VV Scherpenzeel 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
18 Eemdijk 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dongen 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 Lisse 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
3 VV Noordwijk 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
4 VVSB 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
5 Gemert 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
6 Rijnvogels 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
7 Excelsior Maassluis 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
8 RKSV UDI 19 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
9 Roosendaal 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 EVV 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Groene Ster 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 UNA 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 GOES 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 TOGB 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 SV Poortugaal 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
16 Blauw Geel 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
17 Achilles Veen 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
18 VV Zwaluwen 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)