Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Exeter U23 vs Nottingham U23

England England

Premier League Cup 2018/2019 St James Park, Exeter
Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

36' Event
Gomis V.
54' Event
Gomis V.
68' Event
Gomis V.

Kampsammendrag

Nottingham U23 in this Premier League Cup 2018/2019 tie, finishing 0-5. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

18%
Exeter U23
22%
Uavgjort
60%
Nottingham U23
Uavgjort-prognose: 22% Favoritt: Nottingham U23

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

82% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Nottingham U23 have won more games recently than Exeter U23.
  • Model gives Nottingham U23 a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Nottingham U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Nottingham U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 99%
Over 1.5 Mål 94%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 41.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 19%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 75%
Exeter U23 Rent bur 10%
Nottingham U23 Rent bur 12%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Exeter U23 Nottingham U23
Kamper Spilt 29 32
Seire 13 16
Uavgjort 9 5
Tap 7 11
Mål Scoret 1.69 2.16
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.28 1.53
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.23 2.21
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

21. jan. 2019 Premier League Cup
Exeter U23 vs Nottingham U23
0:5
7. okt. 2018 Premier League Cup
Nottingham U23 vs Exeter U23
3:1

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Exeter U23 Sammenlign

Snitt xG / kamp 0.95
Snitt xA / kamp 0.61

Nottingham U23 Sammenlign

Toppscorer Gomis V.
3 Mål
Assister Lawrence-Gabriel J.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 2.01
Snitt xA / kamp 1.23

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Exeter U23 18 / 100
Nottingham U23 56 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Exeter U23 Nottingham U23

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Nottingham U23 Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Exeter U23 found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Nottingham U23 has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Exeter U23 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Måltrender

Exeter U23 VS Nottingham U23
1.33 Mål scoret 2.75
1.67 Mål sluppet inn 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 75%
33% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Exeter U23

(Home)
22 Feb
Wolves U23
0 : 2
Exeter U23
18 Jan
Exeter U23
0 : 3
West Ham U23
14 Jan
Swansea U23
2 : 2
Exeter U23
13 Oct
West Ham U23
3 : 2
Exeter U23
15 Sept
Exeter U23
2 : 3
Wolves U23
Page 1 of 6

Nottingham U23

(Away)
15 May
Stoke City U23
2 : 0
Nottingham U23
29 Apr
Birmingham U23
0 : 3
Nottingham U23
22 Apr
Nottingham U23
1 : 1
Middlesbrough U23
04 Apr
Nottingham U23
2 : 0
Stoke City U23
01 Apr
Nottingham U23
1 : 0
Wolves U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stoke City U23 6 4 1 1 17:8 13
2 Sunderland U23 6 4 0 2 18:13 12
3 Peterborough U23 6 2 0 4 11:18 6
4 Charlton U23 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Everton U23 6 4 2 0 11:5 14
2 Blackburn U23 6 3 1 2 14:6 10
3 Sheffield Utd U23 6 3 0 3 9:9 9
4 Doncaster U23 6 0 1 5 6:20 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burnley U23 6 2 3 1 9:12 9
2 Bournemouth U23 6 2 2 2 13:10 8
3 Liverpool U23 6 1 4 1 5:4 7
4 West Brom U23 6 1 3 2 6:7 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nottingham U23 6 5 1 0 17:6 16
2 Leicester U23 6 1 3 2 8:8 6
3 Exeter U23 6 1 3 2 7:11 6
4 Norwich U23 6 0 3 3 5:12 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Swansea U23 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
2 Wolves U23 6 3 2 1 7:5 11
3 Oxford Utd U23 6 2 1 3 6:7 7
4 Hull City U23 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Derby U23 6 4 1 1 18:4 13
2 Aston Villa U23 6 4 0 2 15:6 12
3 Plymouth U23 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
4 Bristol City U23 6 0 2 4 4:25 2
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Reading U23 6 4 1 1 15:7 13
2 Fulham U23 6 4 0 2 16:5 12
3 Birmingham U23 6 3 1 2 11:9 10
4 Colchester U23 6 0 0 6 3:24 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leeds U23 6 4 0 2 14:8 12
2 Newcastle Utd U23 6 3 2 1 11:7 11
3 Southampton U23 6 3 1 2 18:10 10
4 Notts County U23 6 0 1 5 6:24 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)