Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Exeter vs Cardiff

England England

EFL Trophy 2025/2026 St James Park, Exeter
Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

36'
Bytte
Kellyman O. Inn: Perrett T.
Ut: Kellyman O.
46'
Bytte
Davies I. Inn: Ashford C.
Ut: Davies I.
46'
Bytte
Lawlor D. Inn: Fish W.
Ut: Lawlor D.

Kampsammendrag

This match ends 0-1, with Cardiff advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

22%
Exeter
28%
Uavgjort
50%
Cardiff
Uavgjort-prognose: 28% Favoritt: Cardiff

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

76% / Høy Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Cardiff come out ahead of Exeter on wins alone.
  • Cardiff are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Cardiff arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Cardiff, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 37.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 17%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 71.8%
Exeter Rent bur 14%
Cardiff Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Exeter Cardiff
Kamper Spilt 30 30
Seire 7 17
Uavgjort 11 8
Tap 12 5
Mål Scoret 1.5 2.13
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.13 1.88
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.50 2.13
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.13 1.88

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

14. mars 2026 League One
Exeter vs Cardiff
0:4
26. des. 2025 League One
Cardiff vs Exeter
1:0
16. sep. 2025 EFL Trophy
Exeter vs Cardiff
0:1
24. juli 2021 Club Friendly
Cardiff vs Exeter
2:2
28. juli 2016 Club Friendly
Cardiff vs Exeter
0:3

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Exeter Sammenlign

Snitt xG / kamp 1.15
Snitt xA / kamp 0.75

Cardiff Sammenlign

Toppscorer Robinson C.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 1.94
Snitt xA / kamp 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Exeter 23 / 100
Cardiff 47 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Exeter Cardiff

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips CAR Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Exeter's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Cardiff's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Exeter went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Måltrender

Exeter VS Cardiff
1.5 Mål scoret 2.13
1.13 Mål sluppet inn 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Exeter

(Home)
25 Jul
Weston-super-Mare
0 : 2
Exeter
18 Jul
Truro
1 : 0
Exeter
02 May
Exeter
1 : 2
Bradford City
25 Apr
Burton
1 : 1
Exeter
18 Apr
Exeter
3 : 3
Stockport County
Page 1 of 6

Cardiff

(Away)
25 Jul
Forest Green
1 : 5
Cardiff
14 Jul
Cork City
1 : 6
Cardiff
11 Jul
Cardiff
0 : 6
Midtjylland
02 May
Mansfield
5 : 4
Cardiff
25 Apr
Cardiff
5 : 1
Northampton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Salford33009:39
2Stockport County32017:75
3Wolves U2131027:103
4Wigan30032:51
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tranmere33006:48
2Blackpool32018:36
3Barrow31023:73
4Nottingham U2130033:61
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Doncaster33008:29
2Bradford City32018:56
3Grimsby31026:83
4Everton U2130035:120
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lincoln City33008:09
2Barnsley31026:63
3Manchester United U2131024:83
4Notts County31022:63
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bolton330010:29
2Rotherham32017:56
3Manchester City U2131027:83
4Oldham30035:140
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Harrogate33005:19
2Huddersfield32019:46
3Newcastle Utd U2131025:112
4Mansfield30033:61
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Port Vale32019:47
2Fleetwood Town33009:57
3Accrington31025:64
4Leeds U2130033:110
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crewe330012:29
2Chesterfield31024:94
3Burton31023:43
4Liverpool U2131022:62
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cardiff32014:26
2Exeter32015:46
3Newport31022:33
4Arsenal U2131026:83
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bristol Rovers33006:48
2Plymouth32018:36
3Cheltenham31022:52
4Tottenham U2130038:122
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Northampton33006:19
2Walsall32013:25
3Shrewsbury31025:63
4Chelsea U2130031:61
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Swindon32019:56
2West Ham U2132019:66
3Reading32016:46
4Milton Keynes Dons30031:100
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 13)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Stevenage330012:49
2AFC Wimbledon32016:76
3Bromley31025:72
4Crystal Palace U2130036:111
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 14)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Leyton Orient33006:29
2Peterborough32017:66
3Crawley Town31026:63
4Aston Villa U2130034:90
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 15)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colchester33006:29
2Wycombe32017:36
3Gillingham31025:63
4Fulham U2130032:90
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 16)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Luton32018:56
2Cambridge Utd32016:46
3Barnet32015:75
4Brighton U2130032:51
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)