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Falkirk vs Ayr

Scotland Scotland

League Cup Falkirk Stadium, Falkirk
0 - 1
Slutt
Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

14'
Allan C.
25'
Bytte
McAllister N. Inn: Mitchell K.
Ut: McAllister N.
30' Event
Holt K.
Assist: Lyon R.

Kampsammendrag

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

36%
Falkirk
30%
Uavgjort
34%
Ayr
Uavgjort-prognose: 30% Favoritt: Falkirk

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

66% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Ayr haven't matched Falkirk's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Falkirk a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Falkirk have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ayr, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 72.6%
Falkirk Rent bur 10%
Ayr Rent bur 13%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Falkirk Ayr
Kamper Spilt 30 28
Seire 14 12
Uavgjort 2 5
Tap 14 11
Mål Scoret 1.57 1.46
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.47 1.29
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.13 1.88
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

14. juli 2026 League Cup
Falkirk vs Ayr
0:1
11. apr. 2025 Championship
Ayr vs Falkirk
1:1
15. feb. 2025 Championship
Falkirk vs Ayr
2:2
14. des. 2024 Championship
Ayr vs Falkirk
5:2
5. okt. 2024 Championship
Falkirk vs Ayr
2:0

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Falkirk Sammenlign

Snitt xG / kamp 0.87
Snitt xA / kamp 0.56

Ayr Sammenlign

Toppscorer Holt K.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 1.71
Snitt xA / kamp 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Falkirk 34 / 100
Ayr 33 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Falkirk Ayr

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Falkirk scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Ayr has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Falkirk stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Måltrender

Falkirk VS Ayr
1.75 Mål scoret 2.25
1.5 Mål sluppet inn 0.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Falkirk

(Home)
09 Aug
Motherwell
0 : 0
Falkirk
01 Aug
Falkirk
0 : 2
St. Mirren
25 Jul
Falkirk
3 : 0
Stranraer
21 Jul
Alloa
2 : 1
Falkirk
18 Jul
Falkirk
1 : 0
Genk
Page 1 of 6

Ayr

(Away)
08 Aug
Dunfermline
1 : 1
Ayr
01 Aug
Ayr
2 : 0
Arbroath
25 Jul
Ayr
4 : 1
Alloa
18 Jul
Ayr
2 : 0
Edinburgh City
14 Jul
Falkirk
0 : 1
Ayr
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aberdeen 4 4 0 0 11:2 12
2 Queen's Park 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
3 Kelty Hearts 4 2 0 2 4:8 5
4 Queen of the South 4 1 0 3 6:8 4
5 Brora Rangers 4 0 0 4 3:11 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dundee Utd 4 3 0 1 8:1 9
2 Montrose 4 3 0 1 5:2 9
3 Arbroath 4 2 0 2 3:6 6
4 Stirling 4 1 0 3 3:5 3
5 Spartans 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Mirren 4 3 0 1 12:4 9
2 Dunfermline 4 3 0 1 10:4 9
3 East Kilbride 4 2 0 2 13:10 6
4 Dumbarton 4 1 0 3 6:13 3
5 Cove Rangers 4 1 0 3 3:13 3
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ross County 4 4 0 0 11:3 11
2 Dundee FC 4 3 0 1 14:3 10
3 Clyde 4 2 0 2 6:8 6
4 Airdrieonians 4 1 0 3 5:8 3
5 Annan 4 0 0 4 2:16 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 4 4 0 0 6:3 10
2 Partick 4 3 0 1 13:3 9
3 Livingston 4 2 0 2 11:1 8
4 Forfar Athletic 4 1 0 3 3:15 3
5 Brechin 4 0 0 4 2:13 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inverness 4 4 0 0 5:1 11
2 East Fife 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
3 St Johnstone 4 2 0 2 6:2 7
4 Linlithgow Rose 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
5 Morton 4 0 0 4 0:7 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ayr 4 4 0 0 10:3 12
2 Falkirk 4 2 0 2 9:2 7
3 Edinburgh City 4 2 0 2 4:7 6
4 Alloa 4 2 0 2 4:9 4
5 Stranraer 4 0 0 4 4:10 1
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilmarnock 4 3 0 1 2:0 9
2 Hamilton 4 3 0 1 7:2 8
3 Raith 4 2 0 2 5:2 8
4 Peterhead 4 2 0 2 3:3 5
5 Elgin City 4 0 0 4 2:12 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams