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Fancesa vs Independiente Recreo

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2023
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

The Nacional B 2023 game between Fancesa and Independiente Recreo finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fancesa.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

90%
Fancesa
6%
Uavgjort
4%
Independiente Recreo
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Fancesa

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

95% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Fancesa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Fancesa's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 94%
Over 1.5 Mål 84%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 49%
Over 4.5 Mål 22%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 73.8%
Fancesa Rent bur 20%
Independiente Recreo Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Fancesa Independiente Recreo
Kamper Spilt 30 8
Seire 12 0
Uavgjort 7 0
Tap 11 8
Mål Scoret 2.25 0.6
Mål Sluppet Inn 1 3.2
Forventede Mål (xG) 2.25 0.60
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.00 3.20

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

15. juli 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Fancesa vs Independiente Recreo
6:0
18. juni 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Independiente Recreo vs Fancesa
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Fancesa 85 / 100
Independiente Recreo 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Fancesa Independiente Recreo

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips FAN Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Fancesa scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Independiente Recreo let in goals in 100% of their last 8 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Independiente Recreo's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Måltrender

Fancesa VS Independiente Recreo
2.25 Mål scoret 0.6
1 Mål sluppet inn 3.2
88% Over 1.5 80%
63% Over 2.5 60%
38% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Fancesa

(Home)
26 Oct
Universitario de Sucre
4 : 1
Fancesa
11 Oct
Fancesa
1 : 3
Universitario de Sucre
28 Sept
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
2 : 1
Fancesa
21 Sept
Fancesa
1 : 1
Rio San Juan
14 Sept
Fancesa
8 : 0
C.A. Chocorosi
Page 1 of 6

Independiente Recreo

(Away)
15 Jul
Fancesa
6 : 0
Independiente Recreo
12 Jul
Independiente Recreo
2 : 3
Atletico Sucre
08 Jul
Nacional Sucre
4 : 1
Independiente Recreo
02 Jul
Independiente Recreo
0 : 1
Deportivo Aleman
18 Jun
Independiente Recreo
0 : 2
Fancesa
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Universitario Beni642011:314
2San Lorenzo del Beni62316:89
3Alianza Beni61324:46
4Los Almendros60245:112
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fancesa853019:418
2Nacional Sucre834112:913
3Deportivo Aleman841312:1113
4Atletico Sucre832317:1511
5Independiente Recreo80086:270
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Antonio Bulo Bulo852117:517
2Pasion Celeste834112:713
3Real Mizque83418:713
4Enrique Happ824212:710
5Israel University80084:270
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fatic853024:718
2Academia del Balompie833224:912
3Hiska Nacional833212:1012
4Chaco Petrolero833215:1412
5Huayna Potosi Palcoco80087:42-2
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1GV San Jose862023:720
2Sur-Car841317:1513
3Real Oruro833220:912
4Em Huanuni822415:128
5CM Poopo81074:363
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Universitario de Pando22007:26
2Real Mapajo20022:70
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Potosi650112:215
2Stormers SL632110:211
3Rosario Central62137:67
4Huracan Tupiza60150:191
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz861125:819
2Torre Fuerte850315:715
324 de Septiembre833214:1212
4River 6681259:225
5Universidad Crucena81256:205
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Municipal de Tarija851216:816
2Municipalidad de Yacuiba842214:1414
3Atletico Bermejo841312:713
4Ciclon81434:87
5Garcia Agreda80445:144
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams