Sport Picks
Kamphendelser
2'
2'
Lawrence N.
31'
31'
Sutcliffe E.
36'
36'
Baker F.
Kampsammendrag
The National League South 2025/2026 game between Farnborough and Tonbridge finished 1-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tonbridge.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
42%
20%
38%
Uavgjort-prognose: 20% Favoritt: Farnborough
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
67%
/ Middels Sikkerhet
- Look at the last few games and Tonbridge come out ahead of Farnborough on wins alone.
- Model gives Farnborough a 42% chance of winning this.
- Regular National League South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 75.4%
Farnborough Rent bur 17%
Tonbridge Rent bur 10%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Farnborough | Tonbridge |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 27 | 29 |
| Seire | 13 | 15 |
| Uavgjort | 5 | 4 |
| Tap | 9 | 10 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.78 | 1.79 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.56 | 1.21 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.31 | 1.38 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
18. apr. 2026 National League South
Farnborough vs Tonbridge
1:6
30. aug. 2025 National League South
Tonbridge vs Farnborough
3:3
5. apr. 2025 National League South
Tonbridge vs Farnborough
1:4
26. aug. 2024 National League South
Farnborough vs Tonbridge
0:2
1. apr. 2024 National League South
Tonbridge vs Farnborough
1:2
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Farnborough Sammenlign
Toppscorer Lawrence N.
1 Mål Snitt xG / kamp 1.01
Snitt xA / kamp 0.66
Tonbridge Sammenlign
Toppscorer Sutcliffe E.
1 Mål Assister Baker F.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.25
Snitt xA / kamp 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Farnborough 41 / 100
Tonbridge 36 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Farnborough Tonbridge
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Farnborough found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (27 games).
These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.
Defensive concern: Tonbridge conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
Solid form: Farnborough remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Måltrender
Farnborough VS Tonbridge
1.25 Mål scoret 2.13
0.63 Mål sluppet inn 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Farnborough
(Home) 31 Aug
Braintree
0 : 2 Farnborough
22 Aug
Maidenhead
1 : 1 Farnborough
19 Aug
Farnborough
1 : 0 Chesham
15 Aug
Farnborough
0 : 2 Hemel Hempstead
08 Aug
Maidstone
1 : 2 Farnborough
Page 1 of 6
19 Aug
Farnborough
1 : 0 Chesham
15 Aug
Farnborough
0 : 2 Hemel Hempstead
01 Aug
Farnborough
3 : 0 Bath City
29 Jul
Farnborough
1 : 1 Portsmouth
11 Jul
Farnborough
1 : 2 Reading
Page 1 of 3
Tonbridge
(Away) 31 Aug
Tonbridge
5 : 1 Walton & Hersham
29 Aug
Billericay
2 : 2 Tonbridge
22 Aug
Tonbridge
0 : 2 Truro
18 Aug
Dover Ath.
0 : 1 Tonbridge
15 Aug
Tonbridge
1 : 2 Torquay
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Billericay
2 : 2 Tonbridge
18 Aug
Dover Ath.
0 : 1 Tonbridge
08 Aug
Braintree
0 : 4 Tonbridge
18 Apr
Farnborough
1 : 6 Tonbridge
06 Apr
Eastbourne Borough
1 : 1 Tonbridge
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Worthing FC | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 99:52 | 84 |
| 2 | Hornchurch | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 81:64 | 81 |
| 3 | Torquay | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 87:62 | 80 |
| 4 | Dorking Wanderers | 46 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 78:61 | 79 |
| 5 | Hemel Hempstead | 46 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 55:48 | 79 |
| 6 | Weston-super-Mare | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 61:48 | 78 |
| 7 | Maidenhead | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 66:41 | 77 |
| 8 | Maidstone | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 72:50 | 77 |
| 9 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 73:54 | 77 |
| 10 | Chelmsford | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 73:62 | 73 |
| 11 | Chesham | 46 | 21 | 9 | 16 | 68:55 | 72 |
| 12 | AFC Totton | 46 | 20 | 6 | 20 | 60:79 | 66 |
| 13 | Dagenham & Red. | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 61:62 | 64 |
| 14 | Tonbridge | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 66:65 | 60 |
| 15 | Horsham FC | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 53:54 | 59 |
| 16 | Slough Town | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 69:87 | 54 |
| 17 | Salisbury | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 50:65 | 53 |
| 18 | Hampton & Richmond | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 56:72 | 53 |
| 19 | Farnborough | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 72:92 | 53 |
| 20 | Dover Ath. | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 60:75 | 50 |
| 21 | Bath City | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 50:77 | 43 |
| 22 | Chippenham Town | 46 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 53:80 | 42 |
| 23 | Enfield Town | 46 | 9 | 13 | 24 | 55:82 | 40 |
| 24 | Eastbourne Borough | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 59:90 | 36 |
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
