Sport Picks
FC Chernihiv vs Kryvbas
Ukraine
Ukrainian Cup 2025/2026 Chernihiv Stadium, Černihiv 
Kamphendelser
45'
45'
Tverdokhlib Y.
(Straffe)
47'
47'
Koydan V.
(Straffe)
1'
1'
Novikov A.
(Straffe)
Kampsammendrag
A one-off knockout match in the Ukrainian Cup 2025/2026. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. FC Chernihiv have averaged 1.11 scored and 1.29 conceded recently, against Kryvbas's 1.61 scored and 1.82 conceded. Past meetings favor FC Chernihiv slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 17. sep. 2025, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.50, favoring FC Chernihiv. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
42%
20%
38%
Uavgjort-prognose: 20% Favoritt: FC Chernihiv
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
67%
/ Middels Sikkerhet
- Kryvbas carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives FC Chernihiv a 42% chance of winning this.
- Kryvbas arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor FC Chernihiv, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 98%
Over 1.5 Mål 87.5%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 75.4%
FC Chernihiv Rent bur 16%
Kryvbas Rent bur 10%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | FC Chernihiv | Kryvbas |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 28 | 28 |
| Seire | 7 | 9 |
| Uavgjort | 9 | 8 |
| Tap | 12 | 11 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.11 | 1.61 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.29 | 1.82 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
17. sep. 2025 Ukrainian Cup
FC Chernihiv vs Kryvbas
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
FC Chernihiv 41 / 100
Kryvbas 36 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
FC Chernihiv Kryvbas
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Kryvbas has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.
FC Chernihiv scored in 79% of their last 28 games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
FC Chernihiv has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Måltrender
FC Chernihiv VS Kryvbas
0.88 Mål scoret 1.5
1.5 Mål sluppet inn 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Chernihiv
(Home) 15 Aug
FC Chernihiv
2 : 2 Zhytomyr 2
09 Aug
Probiy Horodenka
1 : 1 FC Chernihiv
01 Aug
FC Chernihiv
1 : 1 Kulikiv
25 Jul
Lokomotyv Kyiv
1 : 1 FC Chernihiv
18 Jul
Livyi Bereg
2 : 1 FC Chernihiv
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15 Aug
FC Chernihiv
2 : 2 Zhytomyr 2
01 Aug
FC Chernihiv
1 : 1 Kulikiv
26 May
FC Chernihiv
1 : 2 Metalist Kharkiv
23 May
FC Chernihiv
1 : 2 Inhulets
20 May
FC Chernihiv
1 : 3 Dynamo Kyiv
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Kryvbas
(Away) 15 Aug
Kryvbas
1 : 1 Livyi Bereg
09 Aug
Zorya
1 : 3 Kryvbas
01 Aug
Kryvbas
1 : 4 Karpaty Lviv
14 Jul
Kryvbas
2 : 1 Gent
11 Jul
Waregem
2 : 1 Kryvbas
Page 1 of 6
09 Aug
Zorya
1 : 3 Kryvbas
11 Jul
Waregem
2 : 1 Kryvbas
01 Jul
Ch. Odesa
2 : 1 Kryvbas
23 May
Oleksandriya
1 : 1 Kryvbas
12 May
Veres Rivne
1 : 3 Kryvbas
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Denhoff Denykhivka 3
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 2
Dinaz Vyshgorod 0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 3
Kolos Polonne 1
Naftovyk Dolyna 0
FC Kharkiv 2
Obolon 0
Lokomotyv Kyiv 3
Kolos Kovalivka 2
Korosten 0
Veres Rivne 4
Nyva Vinnytsya 3
UCSA 0
Hirnyk-Sport 1
Trostyanets 0
FC Chernihiv 1
Atlet Kiev 0
Kulikiv 0
Kryvbas 3
FC Vilkhivtsi 1
Olympia Savyntsi 2
Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka 0
Lisne 4
Epitsentr 1
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 2
Ch. Odesa 2
Zorya 1
Fazenda 0
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 1
FC Uzhhorod 1
Fenix Mariupol 2
Metalist Kharkiv 2
Mayak Sarny 0
LNZ Cherkasy 1
Probiy Horodenka 0
Kormil Yavoriv 1
Rukh Lviv 2
TBD -
Polissya Zhytomyr -
Lozova 0
Bukovyna 3
Penuel Kryvyi Rih 0
Karpaty Lviv 8
Real Pharma Odesa 0
Nyva Ternopil 3
Iron 1
SC Poltava 5
Oleksandriya -
TBD -
TBD -
Dynamo Kyiv -
Polissya Stavky 3
Rebel Kyiv 0
TBD -
Shakhtar -
Livyi Bereg 1
Kudrivka 0
Victoria 1
Vorskla Poltava 0
Karbon Cherkasy 1
Inhulets 2
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1
Skala 1911 0
1/16-finals
Denhoff Denykhivka 0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 2
Kolos Polonne 1
FC Kharkiv 4
Lokomotyv Kyiv 1
Veres Rivne 0
Nyva Vinnytsya 7
Hirnyk-Sport 0
FC Chernihiv 3
Kryvbas 0
Olympia Savyntsi 1
Lisne 2
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 2
Ch. Odesa 1
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 1
Fenix Mariupol 2
Metalist Kharkiv 0
LNZ Cherkasy 2
Rukh Lviv 3
Polissya Zhytomyr 0
Bukovyna 1
Karpaty Lviv 0
Nyva Ternopil 3
SC Poltava 0
Oleksandriya 1
Dynamo Kyiv 2
Polissya Stavky 0
Shakhtar 1
Livyi Bereg 0
Victoria 1
Inhulets 4
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1
1/8-finals
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 3
FC Kharkiv 4
Lokomotyv Kyiv 1
Nyva Vinnytsya 0
FC Chernihiv 2
Lisne 1
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 1
Fenix Mariupol 2
LNZ Cherkasy 1
Rukh Lviv 0
Bukovyna 2
Nyva Ternopil 1
Dynamo Kyiv 2
Shakhtar 1
Victoria 0
Inhulets 1
Quarter-finals
FC Kharkiv 3
Lokomotyv Kyiv 0
FC Chernihiv 1
Fenix Mariupol 0
LNZ Cherkasy 0
Bukovyna 1
Dynamo Kyiv 2
Inhulets 0
Semi-finals
FC Kharkiv 0
FC Chernihiv 1
Bukovyna 0
Dynamo Kyiv 3
Final
FC Chernihiv 1
Dynamo Kyiv 3
