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Fencibles United AFC vs Nelson Suburbs FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

New Zealand New Zealand

Chatham Cup
Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

1' Event
Nicol K.
5' Event
Laing-McConnell D.
90' Event
Laing-McConnell D.

Kampsammendrag

First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 3-0.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

70%
Fencibles United AFC
17%
Uavgjort
13%
Nelson Suburbs FC
Uavgjort-prognose: 17% Favoritt: Fencibles United AFC

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

88% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Form's been kind to Nelson Suburbs FC lately — more wins on the board than Fencibles United AFC.
  • Fencibles United AFC are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Nelson Suburbs FC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Fencibles United AFC, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 19.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 9%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 66.2%
Fencibles United AFC Rent bur 19%
Nelson Suburbs FC Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Fencibles United AFC Nelson Suburbs FC
Kamper Spilt 7 13
Seire 5 7
Uavgjort 0 0
Tap 2 6
Mål Scoret 1.86 1.54
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.14 1.46
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.62 1.26
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

15. aug. 2026 Chatham Cup
Fencibles United AFC vs Nelson Suburbs FC
3:0

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Fencibles United AFC Sammenlign

Toppscorer Laing-McConnell D.
2 Mål
Assister Nicol K.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.25
Snitt xA / kamp 0.81

Nelson Suburbs FC Sammenlign

Snitt xG / kamp 1.15
Snitt xA / kamp 0.7

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Fencibles United AFC 67 / 100
Nelson Suburbs FC 14 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Fencibles United AFC Nelson Suburbs FC

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Fencibles United AFC Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Attacking prowess: Fencibles United AFC scored in 71% of their last 7 outings.

Defensive concern: Nelson Suburbs FC conceded in 69% of 13 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Fencibles United AFC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Måltrender

Fencibles United AFC VS Nelson Suburbs FC
1.86 Mål scoret 1.38
1.14 Mål sluppet inn 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
71% Over 2.5 50%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fencibles United AFC

(Home)
05 Sept
Cashmere Technical
1 : 2
Fencibles United AFC
15 Aug
Fencibles United AFC
3 : 0
Nelson Suburbs FC
25 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
3 : 2
Auckland City
04 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
3 : 0
South Auckland Rangers
26 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
0 : 2
Eastern Suburbs
Page 1 of 2

Nelson Suburbs FC

(Away)
15 Aug
Fencibles United AFC
3 : 0
Nelson Suburbs FC
26 Jul
Nelson Suburbs FC
2 : 1
Auckland United
04 Jul
Nelson Suburbs FC
5 : 0
Northern AFC
16 Aug
Auckland United
3 : 0
Nelson Suburbs FC
26 Jul
Nelson Suburbs FC
2 : 1
Birkenhead
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Fencibles United AFC 3
South Auckland Rangers 0
Auckland City 3
Takapuna Afc 0
Nelson Suburbs FC 5
Northern AFC 0
Auckland United 3
Cambridge 1
Dunedin City Royals 0
Cashmere Technical 9
Island Bay 1
Miramar 3
Melville 0
Hibiscus Coast 1
Petone 0
Napier City 4
Quarter-finals
Fencibles United AFC 3
Auckland City 2
Nelson Suburbs FC 2
Auckland United 1
Cashmere Technical 2
Miramar 1
Hibiscus Coast 2
Napier City 5
Semi-finals
Fencibles United AFC 3
Nelson Suburbs FC 0
Cashmere Technical 2
Napier City 1
Final
Fencibles United AFC 2
Cashmere Technical 1