Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Finland vs Poland

World World

World Championship 2026 Helsinki Olympic Stadium, Helsinki
Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

31' Event
Pohjanpalo J.
(Straffe)
34'
Bednarek J.
35'
Kairinen K.

Kampsammendrag

Finland in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Finland.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

42%
Finland
20%
Uavgjort
38%
Poland
Uavgjort-prognose: 20% Favoritt: Finland

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

67% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Form's been kind to Poland lately — more wins on the board than Finland.
  • Finland are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 38%
Over 3.5 Mål 22%
Over 4.5 Mål 10%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 74.2%
Finland Rent bur 15%
Poland Rent bur 12%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Finland Poland
Kamper Spilt 30 30
Seire 9 14
Uavgjort 2 7
Tap 19 9
Mål Scoret 1.1 1.67
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.8 1.4
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.19 1.56
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

7. sep. 2025 World Championship
Poland vs Finland
3:1
10. juni 2025 World Championship
Finland vs Poland
2:1
7. okt. 2020 Friendly International
Poland vs Finland
5:1
27. mars 2020 Friendly International
Poland vs Finland
0:0
26. mars 2016 Friendly International
Poland vs Finland
5:0

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Finland Sammenlign

Toppscorer Kallman B.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 0.92
Snitt xA / kamp 0.59

Poland Sammenlign

Toppscorer Kiwior J.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 1.42
Snitt xA / kamp 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Finland 41 / 100
Poland 37 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Finland Poland

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Finland scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Poland let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Finland has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Måltrender

Finland VS Poland
1.38 Mål scoret 1.75
1.38 Mål sluppet inn 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Finland

(Home)
05 Jun
Hungary
2 : 1
Finland
31 May
Germany
4 : 0
Finland
30 Mar
Cape Verde
2 : 1
Finland
27 Mar
New Zealand
0 : 2
Finland
17 Nov
Finland
4 : 0
Andorra
Page 1 of 6

Poland

(Away)
03 Jun
Poland
2 : 2
Nigeria
31 May
Poland
0 : 2
Ukraine
31 Mar
Sweden
3 : 2
Poland
26 Mar
Poland
2 : 1
Albania
17 Nov
Malta
2 : 3
Poland
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany 6 5 0 1 16:3 15
2 Slovakia 6 4 0 2 6:8 12
3 Northern Ireland 6 3 0 3 7:6 9
4 Luxembourg 6 0 0 6 1:13 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland 6 4 2 0 14:2 14
2 Kosovo 6 3 2 1 6:5 11
3 Slovenia 6 0 4 2 3:8 4
4 Sweden 6 0 2 4 4:12 2
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scotland 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Denmark 6 3 2 1 16:7 11
3 Greece 6 2 1 3 10:12 7
4 Belarus 6 0 2 4 4:17 2
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 6 5 1 0 16:4 16
2 Ukraine 6 3 1 2 10:11 10
3 Iceland 6 2 1 3 13:11 7
4 Azerbaijan 6 0 1 5 3:16 1
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League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 6 5 1 0 21:2 16
2 Turkey 6 4 1 1 17:12 13
3 Georgia 6 1 0 5 7:15 3
4 Bulgaria 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
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League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 6 4 1 1 20:7 13
2 Ireland 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
3 Hungary 6 2 2 2 11:10 8
4 Armenia 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
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League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 8 6 2 0 27:4 20
2 Poland 8 5 2 1 14:7 17
3 Finland 8 3 1 4 8:14 10
4 Malta 8 1 2 5 4:19 5
5 Lithuania 8 0 3 5 6:15 3
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League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria 8 6 1 1 22:4 19
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 8 5 2 1 17:7 17
3 Romania 8 4 1 3 19:10 13
4 Cyprus 8 2 2 4 11:11 8
5 San Marino 8 0 0 8 2:39 0
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League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway 8 8 0 0 37:5 24
2 Italy 8 6 0 2 21:12 18
3 Israel 8 4 0 4 19:20 12
4 Estonia 8 1 1 6 8:21 4
5 Moldova 8 0 1 7 5:32 1
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League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium 8 5 3 0 29:7 18
2 Wales 8 5 1 2 21:11 16
3 North Macedonia 8 3 4 1 13:10 13
4 Kazakhstan 8 2 2 4 9:13 8
5 Liechtenstein 8 0 0 8 0:31 0
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League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England 8 8 0 0 22:0 24
2 Albania 8 4 2 2 7:5 14
3 Serbia 8 4 1 3 9:10 13
4 Latvia 8 1 2 5 5:15 5
5 Andorra 8 0 1 7 3:16 1
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League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia 8 7 1 0 26:4 22
2 Czech Republic 8 5 1 2 18:8 16
3 Faroe Islands 8 4 0 4 11:9 12
4 Montenegro 8 3 0 5 8:17 9
5 Gibraltar 8 0 0 8 3:28 0
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