Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Karosta vs FK Madona Kvarcs

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2019
Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

15' Event
Nicis V.
26' Event
Nicis V.
39' Event
Moseicenko R.

Kampsammendrag

This match ends 8-1, with FK Karosta advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

90%
FK Karosta
6%
Uavgjort
4%
FK Madona Kvarcs
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: FK Karosta

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

95% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • FK Karosta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans FK Karosta's way, sitting at 90%.
  • FK Karosta have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor FK Karosta, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 89%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 98%
Over 1.5 Mål 87.5%
Over 2.5 Mål 89%
Over 3.5 Mål 87.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 39%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 76.2%
FK Karosta Rent bur 16%
FK Madona Kvarcs Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk FK Karosta FK Madona Kvarcs
Kamper Spilt 20 11
Seire 14 4
Uavgjort 0 0
Tap 6 7
Mål Scoret 3.25 1.2
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.75 5.4
Forventede Mål (xG) 3.25 1.20
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.75 5.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

16. juni 2019 Latvian Cup
FK Karosta vs FK Madona Kvarcs
8:1
27. mai 2018 Latvian Cup
FK Karosta vs FK Madona Kvarcs
9:1

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

FK Karosta Sammenlign

Toppscorer Nicis V.
2 Mål
Assister Kalincenko M.
2 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 2.5
Snitt xA / kamp 1.63

FK Madona Kvarcs Sammenlign

Toppscorer Svekis K.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 1.09
Snitt xA / kamp 0.67

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

FK Karosta 84 / 100
FK Madona Kvarcs 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
FK Karosta FK Madona Kvarcs

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips KAR Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

FK Karosta's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 19 recent games.

FK Madona Kvarcs's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 11 matches.

H2H data points to 9.50 goals as a typical output.

FK Madona Kvarcs lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Måltrender

FK Karosta VS FK Madona Kvarcs
3.25 Mål scoret 1.2
1.75 Mål sluppet inn 5.4
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Karosta

(Home)
27 Nov
Dinamo Riga
2 : 1
FK Karosta
20 Nov
FK Karosta
4 : 2
Dinamo Riga
17 Jul
Albatroz
5 : 1
FK Karosta
04 Jul
Plavinas
0 : 1
FK Karosta
06 Sept
Grobina
3 : 0
FK Karosta
Page 1 of 4

FK Madona Kvarcs

(Away)
12 Jun
FK Madona Kvarcs
0 : 5
Rezekne
22 May
Lielupe
2 : 3
FK Madona Kvarcs
03 Jul
FK Madona Kvarcs
1 : 3
Latgols / Ludza
16 Jun
FK Karosta
8 : 1
FK Madona Kvarcs
27 May
FK Karosta
9 : 1
FK Madona Kvarcs
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
RFS-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Valmiera-
FK Smiltene-
TBD-
TBD-
Ghetto / Gvatar-
Nikers-
TBD-
TBD-
Livani-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Liepaja-
Tukums 2000-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Auda Riga-
Keiko Jekabpils-
TBD-
DSVK Traktors1
Krimulda3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ventspils-
Super Nova-
TBD-
TBD-
Rezekne-
Kalupe2
AFA Olaine1
TBD-
New Project-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Riga FC-
FK Karosta3
Riga United1
TBD-
FK Madona Kvarcs-
Lubana-
TBD-
TBD-
Tente-
FK Alberts-
TBD-
TBD-
Lielupe-
Aliance1
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze0
Monarhs0
LDZ Cargo/DFA7
Alberts JDFS-
TBD-
TBD-
Dinamo Riga-
Albatroz-
TBD-
TBD-
Grobina-
Salaspils FK4
Fk Jurnieks Riga1
Jurmalas1
Jauniba / Upesciems2
Marupe-
TBD-
FK Limbazi2
Caramba8
BFC Daugavpils-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Spartaks Jurmala-
FK Metta-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Jelgava-
1/32-finals
RFS-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Valmiera-
FK Smiltene3
Ghetto / Gvatar0
Nikers1
Livani5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Liepaja-
Tukums 20005
FK Auda Riga1
Keiko Jekabpils2
Krimulda3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ventspils-
Super Nova4
Rezekne3
Kalupe0
New Project1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Riga FC-
FK Karosta8
FK Madona Kvarcs1
Lubana2
Tente6
FK Alberts2
Lielupe1
Aliance1
LDZ Cargo/DFA2
Alberts JDFS3
Dinamo Riga1
Albatroz1
Grobina2
Salaspils FK3
Jauniba / Upesciems0
Marupe3
Caramba5
BFC Daugavpils-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Spartaks Jurmala-
FK Metta-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Jelgava-
1/16-finals
RFS-
TBD-
TBD-
Valmiera-
FK Smiltene7
Livani0
TBD-
FK Liepaja-
Tukums 20009
Krimulda1
TBD-
Ventspils-
Super Nova2
New Project1
TBD-
Riga FC-
FK Karosta1
Tente0
FK Alberts0
LDZ Cargo/DFA6
Alberts JDFS4
Grobina2
Salaspils FK0
Caramba1
BFC Daugavpils-
TBD-
TBD-
Spartaks Jurmala-
FK Metta-
TBD-
TBD-
Jelgava-
1/8-finals
RFS2
Valmiera1
FK Smiltene0
FK Liepaja4
Tukums 20004
Ventspils1
Super Nova0
Riga FC6
FK Karosta4
LDZ Cargo/DFA1
Alberts JDFS0
Caramba1
BFC Daugavpils1
Spartaks Jurmala0
FK Metta0
Jelgava1
Quarter-finals
RFS2
FK Liepaja1
Tukums 20000
Riga FC4
FK Karosta2
Caramba1
BFC Daugavpils1
Jelgava2
Semi-finals
RFS3
Riga FC1
FK Karosta0
Jelgava5
Final
RFS3
Jelgava2